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Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mauricio Higuain       11    2   13     Gk Gregory Reyna          15    2   17
Sw Victor Cruz            11    2   13     Sw Philippe Manago         9    2   11
Df Seny Sarr              12    2   14     Df Lloyd Cole             11    2   13
Df Alan Cole              12    0   12     Df Toshihiro Nakamura     10    2   12
Mf Filip Kramaric         12    2   14     Df Marco Sa                9    0    9
Mf Blaise Akanji          11    2   13     Df Marcus Teulet          10    2   12
Fw Exequiel Gutierrez     11    2   13     Mf Jacek Frankowski       10    2   12
Fw Lukasz Dudka           13    2   15     Mf Marco D'amato           9    2   11
Fw Kaj Jensen             10    0   10     Mf John Skoras             9    2   11
Fw Manuel Benaglio         8    0    8     Fw Jordan Pérez            9    2   11
Fw Eric Mertens            7    2    9     Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue     4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 26 27 55        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 46 34 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 26 27 64         T O T A L S       17 11 53 34 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no red card)

Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.17 (no red card)

Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.5 (no red card)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.48 (no red card)

Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.37 (no red card)

Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.93 (no red card)

Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.36 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.25 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.95 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.66 (no red card)

Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.04 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.02 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.13 (no red card)

Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.98 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.57 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.49 (no red card)

Df Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.53 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.25 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.71 (no red card)

Mf John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.66 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.27 (no red card)

Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.66 (no injury) 
Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.73 (no injury) 
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.59 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.71 (no injury) 
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.01 (no injury) 
Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.8 (no injury) 
Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.05 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.29 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.45 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.29 (no injury) 
Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.95 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.51 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.46 (no injury) 
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.11 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.72 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.43 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.66 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.21 (no injury) 
Mf John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no injury) 
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lukasz Dudka SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 57 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lloyd Cole SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 11

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       13  13  26  27  64
  Carlisle United          17  11  53  34  17

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 11 (64 - 53); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 3 ((26 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Alan Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Seny Sarr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Seny Sarr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Eric Mertens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  11  53  34  17
  Hereford United FC       13  13  26  27  64

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 26)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((34 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 3  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
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