(H)

Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker

Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S HEREFORD UNITED FC CARLISLE UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Mauricio Higuain 11 2 13 Gk Gregory Reyna 15 2 17 Sw Victor Cruz 11 2 13 Sw Philippe Manago 9 2 11 Df Seny Sarr 12 2 14 Df Lloyd Cole 11 2 13 Df Alan Cole 12 0 12 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 10 2 12 Mf Filip Kramaric 12 2 14 Df Marco Sa 9 0 9 Mf Blaise Akanji 11 2 13 Df Marcus Teulet 10 2 12 Fw Exequiel Gutierrez 11 2 13 Mf Jacek Frankowski 10 2 12 Fw Lukasz Dudka 13 2 15 Mf Marco D'amato 9 2 11 Fw Kaj Jensen 10 0 10 Mf John Skoras 9 2 11 Fw Manuel Benaglio 8 0 8 Fw Jordan Pérez 9 2 11 Fw Eric Mertens 7 2 9 Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 4 2 6 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 13 26 27 55 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 46 34 17 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 13 13 26 27 64 T O T A L S 17 11 53 34 17 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.98 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no red card) Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.17 (no red card) Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.5 (no red card) Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.48 (no red card) Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.37 (no red card) Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.93 (no red card) Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.36 (no red card) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.25 (no red card) Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.95 (no red card) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.66 (no red card) Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.04 (no red card) ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.25 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.02 (no red card) Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.13 (no red card) Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.98 (no red card) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.57 (no red card) Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.49 (no red card) Df Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.53 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.25 (no red card) Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.71 (no red card) Mf John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.66 (no red card) Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.27 (no red card) Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.07 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.66 (no injury) Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.73 (no injury) Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.59 (no injury) Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.71 (no injury) Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.01 (no injury) Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.8 (no injury) Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.05 (no injury) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.29 (no injury) Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.45 (no injury) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.29 (no injury) Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.95 (no injury) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.51 (no injury) Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.46 (no injury) Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.11 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.72 (no injury) Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no injury) Df Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.43 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.66 (no injury) Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.21 (no injury) Mf John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no injury) Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no injury) Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.09 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lukasz Dudka SL 13 - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15 intRndPk = 5 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 57 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lloyd Cole SL 11 - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 11 intRndPk = 60 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Hereford United FC 13 13 26 27 64 Carlisle United 17 11 53 34 17 Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 11 (64 - 53); result rounded up Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 34) / 2; rounded up) Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 3 ((26 - 17) / 3); result rounded up Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 14 1: Attack for Df Alan Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Seny Sarr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Seny Sarr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Eric Mertens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 17 11 53 34 17 Hereford United FC 13 13 26 27 64 Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw! Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 26) Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((34 - 27) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 64) / 3; rounded up) Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2 1: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E HEREFORD UNITED FC 3 - CARLISLE UNITED 0