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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Manuel Zakaria         12    2   14     Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18
Sw Mitsuo Soma            10    2   12     Df Cássio Alisson         15    2   17
Df Herman Lambert         14    2   16     Df Rodrygo Paulinho       13    2   15
Df Zinedine Castex        13    2   15     Df Javi Flores             9    2   11
Df Faryd Cuadrado         12    2   14     Mf Imed Ahmed             14    2   16
Mf Mats Larsson           12    2   14     Mf Damian Nabbout          9    2   11
Mf Vibeke Skov            12    2   14     Fw Roberto Bonano         14    2   16
Fw Alhassan Baffoe        14    2   16     Fw Shinya Soma            13    2   15
Fw Jakub Fabianski        13    2   15     Fw Jean Diouf             15    1   16
Fw Wladimir Groen         13    2   15     Fw Gregorio Caballero      9    2   11
Fw Marouane Peeters       10    2   12     Fw Amadou Wagué            9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 45 28 58        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 43 27 69    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 45 28 67         T O T A L S       21  0 43 29 69    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.31 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.33 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.3 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.92 (no red card)

Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.27 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.17 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.55 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.99 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.32 (no second yellow)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.62 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.95 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 62.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 92.35 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.81 (no red card)

Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.27 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.8 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.09 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.0 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.13 (no red card)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.46 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.3 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.99 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.04 (no second yellow)

Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.24 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 30.94 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.56 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.39 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.19 (no injury) 
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.25 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.58 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.71 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.76 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.98 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.15 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.14 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 22.71 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.69 (no injury) 
Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.99 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.79 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.04 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.67 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.27 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.51 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.79 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.07 (no injury) 
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.33 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Herman Lambert SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Alisson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  45  28  67
  Lewes FC                 21   0  43  29  69

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 12 (67 - 43) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 27.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 86.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 58.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 59.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 5.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 21   0  43  29  69
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  45  28  67

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 24 (69 - 45); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 67) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 0.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 46.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
Two teams with very different goals. The title for the first team. Staying in the second division for the second. This requires an inviolable house:
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/13 - 11:08 AM
Lewis have the division wrapped up
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/14 - 11:23 AM
Technically he can lose his 1st place (but I don't believe it...)
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/15 - 7:34 PM
The goal is not to lose the top spot, but it will not be easy.
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/16 - 12:41 PM
The team composition was rushed due to lack of time. The close result isn't in my favor. Good luck to the future champion.
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/20 - 8:47 AM
 
 
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