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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tadhg Boyle            15    1   16     Gk Fernando Pellistri     15    2   17
Sw Enoch Yahaya            9    1   10     Sw Artur Boniek           15    1   16
Df Servando Verón         13    2   15     Df Rodrigo de Corona      13    1   14
Df Frederik Hansen         9    2   11     Df Alex Hassan            13    2   15
Mf Etienne Waseige        12    2   14     Df Mikkel Iversen          9    2   11
Mf Leif Abrahamsen         9    2   11     Mf Ike Azeez              14    2   16
Fw Christophe Thuram      15    0   15     Mf Peder Petersen         11    2   13
Fw Jozef Waseige          15    1   16     Mf Cédric Kenne            5    2    7
Fw Geon-u Seung-woo       10    2   12     Mf Krystian Sobolewski     4    2    6
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung        9    2   11     Fw Yahia El mostafa       13    0   13
Fw Kevin De Smet           9    2   11     Fw Erik Christiansen       9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 10 26 25 65        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 40 42 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  4  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 10 26 25 74         T O T A L S       17 16 46 42 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.22 (no red card)

Sw Enoch Yahaya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.02 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.35 (no red card)

Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.56 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.4 (no red card)

Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.35 (no red card)

Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.28 (no red card)

Fw Jozef Waseige: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.05 (no red card)

Fw Geon-u Seung-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.87 (no red card)

Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.23 (no red card)

Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.41 (no second yellow)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.34 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.53 (no red card)

Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.97 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.87 (no red card)

Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.1 (no red card)

Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.34 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.09 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.24 (no red card)

Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.41 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.54 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 5.37 (no injury) 
Sw Enoch Yahaya: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.71 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Servando Verón is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.12 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.74 (no injury) 
Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.05 (no injury) 
Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.97 (no injury) 
Fw Jozef Waseige: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.71 (no injury) 
Fw Geon-u Seung-woo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.43 (no injury) 
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.28 (no injury) 
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.86 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 44.67 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.3 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.99 (no injury) 
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.34 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.95 (no injury) 
Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.29 (no injury) 
Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.43 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.67 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.68 (no injury) 
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.27 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.68 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Christophe Thuram SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ike Azeez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Tadhg Boyle SL 15

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             16  10  26  25  74
  Derby County             17  16  46  42  24

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 28 (74 - 46); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Leeds United Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Servando Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Jozef Waseige
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Jozef Waseige
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jozef Waseige
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Jozef Waseige
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             17  16  46  42  24
  Leeds United             16  10  26  25  74

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 26)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 9 ((42 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 76.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 1  -  DERBY COUNTY 1
 
Match Notes
Counting on Derby to win this match - said no Forest fan, ever.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/12 - 5:48 PM
We were robbed in this match!!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/15 - 3:21 PM
 
 
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