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Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
Sheffield United
James Bucknall
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eugene Vasilev         14    2   16     Gk Miljenko Sucic         16    1   17
Sw Atsushi Oshima         12    2   14     Df Ivan Rakitic           13    2   15
Df Patrick LecLercq       14    2   16     Df André Ricken           12    2   14
Df Jeppe Bach              9    2   11     Df David Vega             11    2   13
Mf Valentin Gavranovic    14    2   16     Df Vladimir Kuhn           9    2   11
Mf Samim Skov              9    2   11     Df Cian Broderick          5    2    7
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car      15    2   17     Mf Ismaila Aminu          13    2   15
Fw Jacob Jones            14    2   16     Mf Jack Jedinak            8    0    8
Fw José Oliveira          13    2   15     Mf Mathew Driver           5    2    7
Fw Julius Nwosu           13    2   15     Fw Samuel Agbo            19    2   21
Fw Gilbert Jones           5    2    7     Fw Aidan Brown             9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 27 27 70        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 60 30 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  5  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 36 27 70         T O T A L S       17  0 65 30 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.6 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.16 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Atsushi Oshima new match skill level =  6
      Atsushi Oshima new match total level =  8

Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.1 (no red card)

Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.66 (no red card)

Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.41 (no red card)

Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.94 (no red card)

Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.28 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.16 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.51 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.9 (no red card)

Fw Gilbert Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.06 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.7 (no red card)

Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.72 (no red card)

Df André Ricken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.26 (no red card)

Df David Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.23 (no red card)

Df Vladimir Kuhn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.87 (no red card)

Df Cian Broderick: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.2 (no red card)

Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.92 (no red card)

Mf Jack Jedinak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.24 (no red card)

Mf Mathew Driver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.95 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.02 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.5 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.41 (no injury) 
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.09 (no injury) 
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.29 (no injury) 
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.41 (no injury) 
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.25 (no injury) 
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.17 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.39 (no injury) 
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.48 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.31 (no injury) 
Fw Gilbert Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.69 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.06 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Miljenko Sucic is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Miljenko Sucic new match skill level =  8
      Miljenko Sucic new match total level =  9
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.89 (no injury) 
Df André Ricken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.22 (no injury) 
Df David Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.63 (no injury) 
Df Vladimir Kuhn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.97 (no injury) 
Df Cian Broderick: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.63 (no injury) 
Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.63 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Jedinak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.88 (no injury) 
Mf Mathew Driver: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.45 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mislav Caleta-Car SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Miljenko Sucic SL 8

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Samuel Agbo SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 14

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16   8  36  27  70
  Sheffield United         9   0  65  30  32

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 5 (70 - 65); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((36 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Patrick LecLercq
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Sheffield United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Patrick LecLercq
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Sheffield United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 84.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Sheffield United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Sheffield United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Sheffield United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 0.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Sheffield United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 58.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Sheffield United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         9   0  65  30  32
  Bristol City FC          16   8  36  27  70

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 36)
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((65 - 70) / 5;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Mathew Driver
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ismaila Aminu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 1  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 0
 

Match Notes

Go easy on us Jason ;)
~ James ~ Jun 28 (Sheffield United)  
Halpin's attacking football meets Bucknall making the trip from Beverley. One wants to play, one just wants the points. Should be entertaining, at least for the neutral.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 29 (Coventry City)  
No promises.
~ Jason ~ Jul 4 (Bristol City FC)  
But it's ironic that the champions in waiting are asking for mercy.
~ Jason ~ Jul 4 (Bristol City FC)  
The type of slip up James was hoping to avoid
~ John ~ Jul 4 (Port Vale FC)  
Was expecting a 1-0 or 0-0 game.
~ James ~ Jul 6 (Sheffield United)  
Well done Jason.
~ James ~ Jul 6 (Sheffield United)  
 
 
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