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Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores         16    2   18     Gk Jordan Rose            15    2   17
Sw Reece Gregory          16    2   18     Sw Ricardo Xavier         15    2   17
Df Cadwaladr Lewis        15    2   17     Df Martyn Owen            14    2   16
Df Eugene Goodwin          9    2   11     Df Chad Moore             13    2   15
Mf Isaac Semenyo          14    2   16     Df Rasmus Antonsen         9    2   11
Mf Efe Akpan               9    2   11     Df Maciek Szymanski        5    2    7
Fw Mbark Sabiri           14    2   16     Mf Shoji Tanaka           14    2   16
Fw Armand Songo'o         14    2   16     Mf Alvaro Rodríguez        9    2   11
Fw John Jackson           14    2   16     Fw Lilian Cazenave        14    2   16
Fw Ulf Helander            9    2   11     Fw Michael Lagerbäck      13    2   15
Fw Julius Nwosu            5    2    7     Fw Armin Seuffert          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 28 27 66        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 49 27 42    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 18 28 27 75         T O T A L S       18 17 49 27 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 57.4 (no red card)

Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.22 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.34 (no second yellow)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.35 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.51 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.95 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.93 (no red card)

Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.18 (no red card)

Fw John Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.81 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.64 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.63 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.32 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.64 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.27 (no red card)

Df Chad Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.01 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.68 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.9 (no red card)

Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.06 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.42 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.65 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.21 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 10.9 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.4 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.26 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.82 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.65 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.98 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.9 (no injury) 
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.74 (no injury) 
Fw John Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.39 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.56 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.87 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 54.27 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.12 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.12 (no injury) 
Df Chad Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.11 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.36 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.88 (no injury) 
Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.72 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.48 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.54 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.7 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cadwaladr Lewis SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 15

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martyn Owen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          21  18  28  27  75
  Brentford FC             18  17  49  27  42

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 26 (75 - 49); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 38.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw John Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 38.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw John Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             18  17  49  27  42
  Bristol City FC          21  18  28  27  75

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 14 (42 - 28); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 75) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 51.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 64.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 69.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 1  -  BRENTFORD FC 1
 
Match Notes
My nemesis
Roger (Bristol City FC) 07/07 - 3:42 PM
Or as Al might say Undernemesis
Roger (Bristol City FC) 07/07 - 3:42 PM
7 goal underdogs today against the awesome Bristol City. Did you know they once had a 17 match winning streak against us?
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/12 - 10:22 PM
Well played Al
Roger (Bristol City FC) 07/13 - 7:15 PM
Very lucky to get a point today that we did not deserve. Good match Roger.
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/13 - 9:17 PM
 
 
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