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Sunday, March 15th, 2026 - 04:37:39 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          16    2   18     Gk Samir Bouaziz          16    2   18
Df Walter Hamisu          15    2   17     Df Cássio Alisson         15    2   17
Df Ibrahim Aggrey         14    2   16     Df Javi Flores            14    0   14
Df Joseph Jones           11    2   13     Df Jeff Gallagher         14    1   15
Df Angel Cabrera          11    2   13     Df Kylian Rabiot           9    1   10
Mf Arthur Goodwin         16    1   17     Mf Damian Nabbout         14    2   16
Mf Tobias Graf            11    2   13     Mf Imed Ahmed             13    2   15
Mf Issa Daouda            10    2   12     Fw Roberto Bonano         17    2   19
Fw Geovanny Arley         14    2   16     Fw Gregorio Caballero     13    2   15
Fw Martyn Palmer          14    2   16     Mf Héctor Vasquez         11    2   13
Fw Eduardo Luna           17    1   18     Mf Shinya Soma            11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 59 42 50        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 56 57 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 59 42 59         T O T A L S       21  0 56 57 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.0 (no red card)

Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.99 (no red card)

Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.51 (no red card)

Df Joseph Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.89 (no red card)

Df Angel Cabrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.02 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.23 (no second yellow)

Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.43 (no red card)

Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.73 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.89 (no red card)

Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.3 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.38 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 8.98 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.25 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.38 (no red card)

Df Jeff Gallagher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.55 (no red card)

Df Kylian Rabiot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.27 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.85 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.39 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.94 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.81 (no red card)

Mf Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.74 (no red card)

Mf Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 39.53 (no injury) 
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.41 (no injury) 
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.88 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.4 (no injury) 
Df Angel Cabrera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.33 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.44 (no injury) 
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.68 (no injury) 
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.88 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.55 (no injury) 
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.39 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.74 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 64.39 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.31 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.92 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Gallagher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.11 (no injury) 
Df Kylian Rabiot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.05 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.05 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.59 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.83 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.6 (no injury) 
Mf Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.25 (no injury) 
Mf Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eduardo Luna SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roberto Bonano SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 16

     intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     18   0  59  42  59
  Lewes FC                 21   0  56  57  34

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 2 (59 - 56) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 57) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 5 ((59 - 34) / 5); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Angel Cabrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 6.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Angel Cabrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 96.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Angel Cabrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 66.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 42.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 21   0  56  57  34
  Preston North End FC     18   0  59  42  59

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 59)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((57 - 42) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((56 - 59) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
I get two opportunities to play 10 hard against Olmecs favorite son
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/28 - 7:43 PM  
Has anyone seen the Lewes roster? How are they not 10 points clear at the top of the league?
Ian (Preston North End FC) 02/28 - 8:12 PM  
When was the last time Ian lost a game? Maybe Lewes is going to put an end to this!!
Abe (Leeds United) 03/01 - 1:29 AM  
Here's to a "clean" match
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/02 - 1:49 AM  
HArdness Ahoy
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 03/07 - 12:09 PM  
Apple of Olmecs eye strikes again
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/07 - 6:50 PM  
 
 
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