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Wednesday, January 28th, 2026 - 11:22:37 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mohammed Zakari        12    0   12     Gk Per Holmdahl           12    1   13
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda       14    1   15     Sw Tommy McGree            8    0    8
Df Goronwy Wright         13    1   14     Df Edwin O'Doherty        12    1   13
Df Léon Velardi           10    1   11     Df Festus Abubakar        10    1   11
Mf Denis Fellaini         13    1   14     Df Dominique Coltorti      2    2    4
Mf Andrej Kovac           10    1   11     Mf Mario Pletikosa        12    1   13
Mf Cesar Beto              6    2    8     Mf Óscar Cota             10    1   11
Fw Sven Skog              13    1   14     Mf Clement Harouna         2    2    4
Mf Younes Regragui        11    1   12     Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      15    1   16
Mf Mohammed Gyasi         14    1   15     Fw Bassem Mkademi         10    1   11
Fw Eddie McBride           5    2    7     Fw Olivier Havet           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 40 60 21        ROSTER TOTALS      13  8 28 28 35    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 40 65 25         T O T A L S       13 11 32 28 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 58.17 (no red card)

Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.55 (no red card)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.43 (no red card)

Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.08 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.65 (no red card)

Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.37 (no red card)

Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.41 (no red card)

Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.42 (no red card)

Mf Younes Regragui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.82 (no red card)

Mf Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.59 (no red card)

Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.12 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.21 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.21 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.51 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.19 (no red card)

Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.37 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.55 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.45 (no second yellow)

Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.79 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.66 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.36 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 49.83 (no injury) 
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.9 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.96 (no injury) 
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.26 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.91 (no injury) 
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.92 (no injury) 
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.55 (no injury) 
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.52 (no injury) 
Mf Younes Regragui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.0 (no injury) 
Mf Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.56 (no injury) 
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.92 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 58.66 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.63 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.71 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.29 (no injury) 
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.11 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.54 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.39 (no injury) 
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.29 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.18 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.3 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.99 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hiroyuki Matsuda SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 12

     intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zvonimir Bradaric SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 62 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13   0  40  65  25
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  32  28  35

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 32)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 19 ((65 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((40 - 35) / 5); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 96.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  32  28  35
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13   0  40  65  25

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 40)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 65) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 2 ((32 - 25) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 65.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 3  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
 
Match Notes
We will need points from games like this if we are to avoid a relation battle season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/11 - 2:25 PM
concentrate on your home games if you want to avoid relegation!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/16 - 9:41 PM
Nearly fluxed a point there
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/18 - 8:48 AM
 
 
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