(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Samir Bouaziz 9 2 11 Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19
Sw Bradley Perry 15 2 17 Sw Tjoris Dumfried 15 2 17
Df Jaap De wit 13 2 15 Df Hayden Goodwin 17 2 19
Df Joshua Partey 9 0 9 Df Abdul Otu 13 -1 12
Mf Yuriy Taran 14 2 16 Df Joel Calvo 9 2 11
Mf Rigobert Mahamat 14 2 16 Mf Arthur Goodwin 13 2 15
Mf Jacques Mefire 9 2 11 Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 9 2 11
Fw Takao Soma 15 2 17 Fw Eduardo Luna 15 2 17
Fw Elliot Wilkins 16 2 18 Fw Pol Ruiz 9 2 11
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 10 2 12 Fw Geovanny Arley 9 2 11
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko 9 1 10 Fw Atsushi Morioka 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
11 17 24 43 57 ROSTER TOTALS 19 17 42 26 46
0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 18 24 43 66 T O T A L S 22 17 42 26 46
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.1 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.49 (no red card)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.51 (no red card)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.86 (no red card)
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.93 (no red card)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.73 (no red card)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.59 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.8 (no second yellow)
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.79 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.33 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.87 (no second yellow)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.06 (no red card)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.21 (no red card)
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.88 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.07 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.78 (no red card)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.08 (no red card)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.77 (no red card)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.68 (no red card)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.27 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.56 (no red card)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.38 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.69 (no red card)
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.92 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 12.54 (no injury)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.25 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Bradley Perry is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.62 (no injury)
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.16 (no injury)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.31 (no injury)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.04 (no injury)
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.65 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.78 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.65 (no injury)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.47 (no injury)
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.03 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Vukmir Kovalenko is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Vukmir Kovalenko new match skill level = 5
Vukmir Kovalenko new match total level = 6
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 37.52 (no injury)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.29 (no injury)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.8 (no injury)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.04 (no injury)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.33 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.93 (no injury)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.11 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.01 (no injury)
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.1 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.45 (no injury)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.76 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 16
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17
intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
- Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 14 18 24 43 62
Preston North End FC 22 17 42 26 46
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 20 (62 - 42); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 9 ((43 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 46) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 29
1: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 96.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 15.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 4.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 60.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 67.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 22 17 42 26 46
Brighton & Hove Albion 14 18 24 43 62
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 22 (46 - 24); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 43) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 62) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 92.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 89.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 36.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 2
Match Notes
I doubt home advantage will be enough to get us a win that won’t be enough to stave off relegation.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/23 - 2:18 PM
Being out of cups early sees these weak-GK-lineups come out far too often. ‘Til next time Mr. Lindsay. Cheers!!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/02 - 4:58 AM