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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Smahi Regragui         16   -2   14     Gk Alonso Lopez           16    2   18
Sw Tjoris Dumfried        15    2   17     Sw Glen Clarke            16    1   17
Df Hayden Goodwin         15    2   17     Df Vincent Hamidou        15    2   17
Df Oribe Vega             17    2   19     Df Manuel Ortiz           12    2   14
Df Miguel Torres           9    2   11     Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13
Mf Miguel López           15    2   17     Df Alex Salisu            11    2   13
Mf Arthur Goodwin          9    2   11     Mf Claes Östberg          11    2   13
Fw Eduardo Luna           13    2   15     Mf Randall Navarrete      15    1   16
Fw Šime Sucic              9    2   11     Fw Cássio Lemos           16    2   18
Fw Raphaël Mayeux          9    2   11     Fw Rónald Aguilera        13    2   15
Fw Pol Ruiz                5    2    7     Fw Kenzie McDonald        12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 17 47 28 44        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 57 29 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 47 28 53         T O T A L S       21 17 57 29 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.26 (no red card)

Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.13 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.9 (no red card)

Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.85 (no red card)

Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.82 (no red card)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.47 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.95 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.67 (no red card)

Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.87 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.32 (no red card)

Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.72 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 31.61 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.74 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.82 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.29 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.58 (no red card)

Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.33 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.88 (no second yellow)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.74 (no red card)

Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.47 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.55 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.67 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 51.4 (no injury) 
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.99 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.66 (no injury) 
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.45 (no injury) 
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.68 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.53 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.81 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.95 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Eduardo Luna is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Eduardo Luna new match skill level =  7
      Eduardo Luna new match total level =  9
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.2 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.78 (no injury) 
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.25 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 44.89 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.11 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.34 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.16 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Kenzie Fraser is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kenzie Fraser new match skill level =  6
      Kenzie Fraser new match total level =  8
Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.68 (no injury) 
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.4 (no injury) 
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.85 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.93 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.36 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 21 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     17  17  47  28  47
  Southend United          21  17  52  29  47

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 52)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          21  17  52  29  47
  Preston North End FC     17  17  47  28  47

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 47)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 2 ((52 - 47) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Alex Salisu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Randall Navarrete
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Robbed
Colin (Southend United) 07/14 - 1:27 PM
 
 
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