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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan De boer          14    2   16     Gk Yassine Amara          16    2   18
Sw Eddy Chadli            14    2   16     Sw Gilbert Tchato         15    2   17
Df Ricardo Fernandes      11    2   13     Df Johan Teulet           13    2   15
Df Jerome De Ketelaere     9    2   11     Df Vincent Hamidou        12    2   14
Df Meliton López           5    2    7     Df Eric Kompany           11    2   13
Mf Alan Herdman           13    1   14     Df Aymen Mansour           8    2   10
Mf Benedicto González      9    2   11     Df Mario Egli              8    2   10
Fw Adam Vasilev           15    1   16     Mf Ludwig Troell          14    1   15
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   15    0   15     Mf Orlando Valencia       11    2   13
Fw Martin Aguilera         9    2   11     Fw Marek Grabara          13    2   15
Fw Ayrton Chamot           5    2    7     Fw Pedro Viera            12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 16 31 25 49        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 62 28 29    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 16 31 25 58         T O T A L S       19 20 66 28 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.67 (no red card)

Sw Eddy Chadli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.29 (no red card)

Df Ricardo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.54 (no red card)

Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.26 (no red card)

Df Meliton López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.92 (no red card)

Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.69 (no red card)

Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.33 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.92 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.52 (no red card)

Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.42 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.53 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 91.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 78.69 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.4 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.27 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.36 (no red card)

Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.63 (no red card)

Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.58 (no red card)

Df Mario Egli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.92 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.57 (no red card)

Mf Orlando Valencia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.61 (no red card)

Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.19 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Marek Grabara new match skill level =  7
      Marek Grabara new match total level =  9

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.25 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 53.49 (no injury) 
Sw Eddy Chadli: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.75 (no injury) 
Df Ricardo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.88 (no injury) 
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.84 (no injury) 
Df Meliton López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.46 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.83 (no injury) 
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.23 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.17 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.98 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.16 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.97 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 0.56 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Yassine Amara is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Yassine Amara new match skill level =  8
      Yassine Amara new match total level =  10
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.53 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.82 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.93 (no injury) 
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.67 (no injury) 
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.85 (no injury) 
Df Mario Egli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.45 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.39 (no injury) 
Mf Orlando Valencia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.91 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.38 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Adam Vasilev SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ludwig Troell SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 14

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             19  16  31  25  58
  Southend United          11  20  66  28  23

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 0 (58 - 66)
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 3 ((31 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Ricardo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Meliton López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 39.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          11  20  66  28  23
  Port Vale FC             19  16  31  25  58

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 31)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 2 ((66 - 58) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Eric Kompany
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 49.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
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