(H)

Port Vale FC
John Holden

Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PORT VALE FC WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Hyun Tae-yong 16 1 17 Gk Alexander Bach 15 2 17 Sw Fokke Taylor 15 -2 13 Sw Toni Meyer 16 2 18 Df Carsten Kragelund 14 2 16 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 14 2 16 Df Boško Shpak 13 0 13 Df Hugo Simons 12 2 14 Mf Hélder Carvalho 14 0 14 Df Léon Velardi 5 2 7 Mf Santiago Villa 9 2 11 Mf Denis Fellaini 14 2 16 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 16 1 17 Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 13 2 15 Fw Peter Goossens 15 1 16 Fw Mohammed Gyasi 16 2 18 Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti 14 1 15 Fw John Clarke 14 2 16 Fw Andres Gutierrez 16 0 16 Fw Krystian Zewlakow 12 2 14 Fw Adam Vasilev 9 2 11 Fw Nii Mingle 16 2 18 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 13 29 25 75 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 37 31 66 0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 1 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 16 29 28 82 T O T A L S 20 21 44 31 66 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.5 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.93 (no red card) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.09 (no red card) Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.19 (no red card) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.32 (no red card) Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.98 (no red card) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.0 (no red card) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.92 (no red card) Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.1 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.73 (no second yellow) Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.03 (no red card) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.71 (no red card) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 91.74 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 57.25 (no red card) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.62 (no red card) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.27 (no red card) Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.01 (no red card) Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.76 (no red card) Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.87 (no red card) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.9 (no red card) Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.49 (no red card) Fw John Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.03 (no red card) Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.08 (no red card) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.78 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 4.96 (no injury) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.39 (no injury) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 91.67 (no injury) Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.68 (no injury) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.27 (no injury) Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.17 (no injury) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.46 (no injury) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.08 (no injury) Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.88 (no injury) Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.56 (no injury) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.32 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Adam Vasilev is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Adam Vasilev new match skill level = 5 Adam Vasilev new match total level = 7 ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 76.56 (no injury) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.97 (no injury) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.78 (no injury) Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.33 (no injury) Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 58.36 (no injury) Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.65 (no injury) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.04 (no injury) Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.79 (no injury) Fw John Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.61 (no injury) Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.64 (no injury) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.51 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 16 - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mohammed Gyasi SL 16 - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Port Vale FC 20 16 29 28 78 Weston-super-Mare AFC 20 21 44 31 66 Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 34 (78 - 44); result rounded up Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 31) / 2; rounded up) Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 66) / 3; rounded up) Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 34 1: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 65.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 43.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 76.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 31: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 33: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 71 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Weston-super-Mare AFC 20 21 44 31 66 Port Vale FC 20 16 29 28 78 Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw! Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (66 - 29) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((31 - 28) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 78) / 3; rounded up) Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 94.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Fw John Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 8.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw John Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 98.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw John Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 74.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 71.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw John Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw John Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw John Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw John Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PORT VALE FC 0 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 3
Match Notes

This is, potentially, for a lot of marbles.
John (Port Vale FC) 02/22 - 10:51 PM

Weston could cement their first title during this one
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/23 - 9:56 AM

given we are away at Port Vale the odds are really against us!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/27 - 5:52 PM

Big match, eh?
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/01 - 1:29 AM


That seals it. Congrats on the league title Vick!
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/01 - 6:42 PM

Congrats Vick!
John (Port Vale FC) 03/03 - 12:59 AM

thanks! you both put up a really good fight to try and stop me...
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/03 - 8:19 PM

At least we're a point away from tying our best ever season
John (Port Vale FC) 03/04 - 1:11 AM