(H)
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CHESTERFIELD FC OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Héctor Medrano 16 2 18 Gk Timothy James 15 2 17
Sw Ricardo Gomes 13 0 13 Mf Ian Butler 4 2 6
Df Guillermo Barreto 15 0 15 Df Ado Di matteo 14 2 16
Df Bozidar Rakitic 9 2 11 Df Luis Ballestro 13 2 15
Mf Steen Clausen 16 0 16 Df Giancarlo Astua 9 2 11
Mf Edwin O'Kelly 16 0 16 Df Jamie Mooy 4 2 6
Mf Lloyd Owen 5 2 7 Df Acario Finizio 10 1 11
Fw Mario Barrios 16 0 16 Mf Duje Kramaric 8 0 8
Fw Marcos Talavera 13 2 15 Mf Ablaye Ndour 4 2 6
Fw Masaki Nagatomo 9 -1 8 Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez 9 2 11
Fw Koo Chun-soo 5 2 7 Fw Bello Chepkurui 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 13 26 39 46 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 59 20 17
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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21 16 26 39 55 T O T A L S 17 0 59 20 17
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.87 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.44 (no red card)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.3 (no red card)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.81 (no red card)
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.0 (no red card)
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.25 (no red card)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.18 (no red card)
Mf Lloyd Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.64 (no red card)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.49 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.04 (no red card)
Fw Masaki Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.78 (no red card)
Fw Koo Chun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.66 (no red card)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.82 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.59 (no red card)
Mf Ian Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.92 (no red card)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.63 (no red card)
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.85 (no red card)
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.42 (no red card)
Df Jamie Mooy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.9 (no red card)
Df Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.42 (no red card)
Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.43 (no red card)
Mf Ablaye Ndour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.71 (no red card)
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.57 (no red card)
Fw Bello Chepkurui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.78 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.95 (no injury)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.46 (no injury)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.2 (no injury)
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.95 (no injury)
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.81 (no injury)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.49 (no injury)
Mf Lloyd Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.2 (no injury)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.53 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.24 (no injury)
Fw Masaki Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.22 (no injury)
Fw Koo Chun-soo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.7 (no injury)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.75 (no injury)
Mf Ian Butler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.74 (no injury)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.2 (no injury)
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.52 (no injury)
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.77 (no injury)
Df Jamie Mooy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.3 (no injury)
Df Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.01 (no injury)
Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.12 (no injury)
Mf Ablaye Ndour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.47 (no injury)
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.16 (no injury)
Fw Bello Chepkurui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.93 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Bello Chepkurui is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Steen Clausen SL 16
- Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 15
intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ado Di matteo SL 14
- Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 16
intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Chesterfield FC 21 16 26 39 55
Oldham Athletic AFC 17 0 59 20 17
Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (55 - 59)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((39 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 3 ((26 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 74.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Bozidar Rakitic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 55.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 17 0 59 20 17
Chesterfield FC 21 16 26 39 55
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 26)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 39) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((59 - 55) / 5); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Jamie Mooy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CHESTERFIELD FC 0 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
Match Notes
Antoine takes Oldham to Chesterfield — a decent test of whether his side travel as well as they play at home. Early doors in the season, but patterns reveal themselves quickly to those paying attention.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jul 1 (Coventry City)