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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           15    2   17     Gk Bo Norlén               8    2   10
Sw Tommy McGree           15    2   17     Df Martin Toivonen        14    0   14
Df Sion Davey             15    2   17     Df Enrique Gimenez        14    0   14
Df Santiago Castillo      13    2   15     Df Secundino López         8    2   10
Df Michaël Van der Heyden  9    1   10     Mf Etienne Willems        15    0   15
Mf Stefan Boniek          15    2   17     Mf Brecht De wit          12    1   13
Mf Thomas Robinson        10    2   12     Mf Kaies Mhedhebi         11    2   13
Mf Mario Pletikosa         5    2    7     Mf Cameron Gates           8    2   10
Fw Joel Zamora            15    2   17     Mf Artem Fedorov           7    2    9
Fw Damien Sanchez         14    2   16     Fw Bartosz Frankowski     12    0   12
Fw Slava Levchenko         9    2   11     Fw Yuto Kawashima          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 42 36 44        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 38 60 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 42 38 51         T O T A L S       10  0 38 60 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.16 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.38 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.65 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.82 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.84 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.91 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.16 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.11 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.97 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.36 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.1 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.22 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.01 (no red card)

Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.75 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.94 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.05 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.93 (no red card)

Mf Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.96 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.48 (no red card)

Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.1 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.13 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.65 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.35 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.27 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.77 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.24 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.15 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.63 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.72 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.47 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.24 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.64 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.46 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.28 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.78 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.24 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.85 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.3 (no injury) 
Mf Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.12 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.45 (no injury) 
Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.84 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.12 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.43 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sion Davey SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 8

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Etienne Willems SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 15

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  17  42  38  51
  Swindon Town FC          10   0  38  60  23

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 13 (51 - 38); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 60) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 7 ((42 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 85.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Michaël Van der Heyden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 48.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 50.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Michaël Van der Heyden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 87.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 57.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 80.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 21.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 4.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          10   0  38  60  23
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  17  42  38  51

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 42)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((60 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Artem Fedorov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Kaies Mhedhebi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 4  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Home advantage needs to be used wisely here
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/07 - 7:47 AM
Swindon stacked the midfield, which made things tricky
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/14 - 5:14 AM
 
 
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