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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kaies Ghodhbane        13    0   13     Gk Arwyn Collins          11    2   13
Sw Ciriaco Lang           15    0   15     Sw Esteban Martin         14    2   16
Df Cristóbal Sanchez      13    0   13     Df Marko Mandžukic        12    2   14
Df Marcel Pechet           9    2   11     Df Alex Graham            10    2   12
Mf Tony Gueye             15    0   15     Df Hugo Quintero           9    2   11
Mf Gareth Smith            9    2   11     Df Grégory Lloris          8    2   10
Fw José Borges            15    1   16     Mf Ivan Vida              13    2   15
Fw Yoo Young-pyo          15   -1   14     Mf Harrison Harewood      10    2   12
Fw Jürg Spycher           12    0   12     Mf Michael Wass            7    2    9
Fw Marwan Zakaria         12    0   12     Fw Omar Bouazizi          10    2   12
Fw Clement Kenne           9    2   11     Fw Ayrton Bielsa          13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 15 24 26 65        ROSTER TOTALS      13 16 47 36 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 15 26 26 74         T O T A L S       16 17 47 36 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kaies Ghodhbane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.02 (no red card)

Sw Ciriaco Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.98 (no red card)

Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.83 (no red card)

Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.62 (no red card)

Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.4 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.68 (no second yellow)

Fw José Borges: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.85 (no red card)

Fw Yoo Young-pyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.73 (no red card)

Fw Jürg Spycher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.78 (no red card)

Fw Marwan Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.24 (no red card)

Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.37 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Arwyn Collins: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 89.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 51.92 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 16.27 (no red card)

Df Marko Mandžukic: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 48.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 55.17 (no red card)

Df Alex Graham: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 28.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 36.08 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 87.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 93.78 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 4.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 24.95 (no second yellow)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 3.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 87.21 (no second yellow)

Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 84.83 (no red card)

Mf Michael Wass: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 23.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 96.18 (no red card)

Fw Omar Bouazizi: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 41.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.67 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 86.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 39.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Kaies Ghodhbane: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.48 (no injury) 
Sw Ciriaco Lang: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 81.2 (no injury) 
Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 59.48 (no injury) 
Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 95.98 (no injury) 
Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 78.65 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 71.37 (no injury) 
Fw José Borges: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 19.2 (no injury) 
Fw Yoo Young-pyo: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 55.48 (no injury) 
Fw Jürg Spycher: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 6.53 (no injury) 
Fw Marwan Zakaria: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 38.95 (no injury) 
Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 90.07 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Arwyn Collins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 32.93 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.56 (no injury) 
Df Marko Mandžukic: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.42 (no injury) 
Df Alex Graham: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.42 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.26 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.46 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 81.48 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.23 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Wass: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.95 (no injury) 
Fw Omar Bouazizi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.87 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tony Gueye SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Arwyn Collins SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 53 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ivan Vida SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kaies Ghodhbane SL 13

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  15  26  26  74
  Dorchester Town          16  17  47  36  26

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 27 (74 - 47); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw José Borges
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 24.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 58.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw José Borges
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw José Borges
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 0.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Marwan Zakaria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw José Borges
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 94.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw José Borges
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          16  17  47  36  26
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  15  26  26  74

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 26)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 5 ((36 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Michael Wass
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Michael Wass
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 2  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
Great minds think alike, Brian.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/10 - 12:27 AM
Both teams still have a chance of promotion. A big game.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/11 - 10:17 PM
Disappointed to lose but that’s what we deserved.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/19 - 11:25 AM
 
 
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