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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Choi Sung              11    2   13     Gk Mauricio Higuain       13    2   15
Sw Ibou Sene              15   -2   13     Sw Patrizio Viviani        8    2   10
Df Edilberto Moreno       16    0   16     Df Alan Cole              14    2   16
Df Jeff Stewart           13   -1   12     Df Seny Sarr               8    2   10
Df Amalio Zanetti         12    0   12     Mf Blaise Akanji           8    2   10
Df Yuriy Polishchuk        9   -2    7     Mf Filip Kramaric          8    2   10
Mf Jonatan López          16    0   16     Mf Josh Jordan             5    2    7
Mf Edwin O'Kelly          13   -1   12     Mf Toshihiro Hattori       5    2    7
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    16   -1   15     Fw Kaj Jensen             11    2   13
Fw Alfonso Mesén          15    0   15     Fw Exequiel Gutierrez      9    0    9
Fw Julio Morales           9    2   11     Fw Eric Mertens            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 47 28 41        ROSTER TOTALS      15 10 26 34 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  4  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 16 60 28 41         T O T A L S       17 10 33 34 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Choi Sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.18 (no red card)

Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.81 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.35 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.76 (no red card)

Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.25 (no red card)

Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.08 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.97 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.17 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.79 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.66 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.77 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.29 (no red card)

Sw Patrizio Viviani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.65 (no red card)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.67 (no red card)

Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.13 (no red card)

Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.62 (no red card)

Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.06 (no red card)

Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.53 (no red card)

Mf Toshihiro Hattori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.89 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.75 (no red card)

Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.23 (no red card)

Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Choi Sung: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.55 (no injury) 
Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.39 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.13 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.05 (no injury) 
Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.29 (no injury) 
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.89 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.28 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.8 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.77 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.91 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.42 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.25 (no injury) 
Sw Patrizio Viviani: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.86 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.03 (no injury) 
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.09 (no injury) 
Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.11 (no injury) 
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.13 (no injury) 
Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.57 (no injury) 
Mf Toshihiro Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.86 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.95 (no injury) 
Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.57 (no injury) 
Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.72 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edilberto Moreno SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 13

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alan Cole SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Choi Sung SL 11

     intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          16  16  60  28  41
  Hereford United FC       17  10  33  34  27

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 8 (41 - 33); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 11 ((60 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 43.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Amalio Zanetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Amalio Zanetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Yuriy Polishchuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Amalio Zanetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 32.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       17  10  33  34  27
  Chesterfield FC          16  16  60  28  41

Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 60)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((34 - 28) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Blaise Akanji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Blaise Akanji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 3  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 0
 
Match Notes
Here we go!
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/01 - 8:13 AM
 
 
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