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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk John Kosowski           9    2   11     Gk Manuel Zakaria         12    2   14
Sw Ricardo Xavier         13    0   13     Sw Mitsuo Soma            10    2   12
Df Christian Hennessey    15    2   17     Df Herman Lambert         14    2   16
Df Maciek Szymanski       14    2   16     Df Zinedine Castex        13    2   15
Df Martyn Owen            14    1   15     Df Faryd Cuadrado         12    2   14
Df Kazu Fukunishi          9    2   11     Mf Mats Larsson           12    2   14
Mf Balla Diouf            13    0   13     Mf Vibeke Skov            12    2   14
Mf Geert De Ketelaere     10    2   12     Fw Alhassan Baffoe        14    2   16
Fw Ye-jun Ji              14    1   15     Fw Jakub Fabianski        13    2   15
Fw Per Seuffert           12    1   13     Fw Wladimir Groen         13    2   15
Fw Lilian Cazenave        10    2   12     Fw Marouane Peeters       10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 13 59 25 40        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 45 28 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  0  0  4  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 16 59 25 53         T O T A L S       14 12 45 28 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.95 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.6 (no red card)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.72 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.35 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.22 (no second yellow)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.53 (no red card)

Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.35 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.98 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.5 (no red card)

Fw Per Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.06 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.56 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.0 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.89 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.7 (no red card)

Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.34 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.75 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.99 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.91 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.6 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.76 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.86 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.68 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.56 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.71 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.6 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.21 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.39 (no injury) 
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.52 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.95 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.25 (no injury) 
Fw Per Seuffert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.19 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.1 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 8.52 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.98 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.9 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.63 (no injury) 
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.99 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.21 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.01 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.38 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.91 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.45 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.43 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Christian Hennessey SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Herman Lambert SL 14
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 9

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             14  16  59  25  53
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  45  28  58

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 8 (53 - 45); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 1 ((59 - 58) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Per Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Per Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  45  28  58
  Brentford FC             14  16  59  25  53

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (58 - 59)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 0  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
 
Match Notes
We are looking forward to competing for the 3rd Division title!
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/19 - 1:35 PM
No chance of scoring today against Antoine's club. Well done Antoine!
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/19 - 7:04 PM
I was aiming for a draw, hoping for a miracle. No miracle. I got a draw. Too bad for Brentford.
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/20 - 8:42 AM
 
 
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