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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Carlisle United
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League Round 2
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl           10    1   11     Gk Dani Cassio            11    1   12
Sw Piotr Sobolewski       13    1   14     Sw Alistair Robinson       5    2    7
Df Festus Abubakar        13    0   13     Df Eirwyn Davey           11    0   11
Df Joe Wilson             12    0   12     Df Kyria Brozovic          5    2    7
Df Dominique Coltorti      6    2    8     Df Deryn Cartwright        2    2    4
Mf Óscar Cota             13    1   14     Df Minato Morishima        8    1    9
Mf Ivan Jackson           10    0   10     Mf Brian Murray           10    0   10
Mf Clement Harouna         6    2    8     Mf Ousmane Laforest        5    2    7
Fw Bassem Mkademi         13    1   14     Mf Alexander Dolberg       2    2    4
Fw Gonzalo Lopez          14    0   14     Fw Agustin Martinez        5    2    7
Fw Kalle Ljungberg         6    2    8     Fw Liam Harries            2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 14 33 32 36        ROSTER TOTALS      12  7 31 21 11    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 14 33 34 43         T O T A L S       12  7 38 21 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.95 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.14 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.48 (no red card)

Df Joe Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.67 (no red card)

Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.39 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.37 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.48 (no red card)

Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.26 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.25 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.81 (no red card)

Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.27 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.85 (no red card)

Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.92 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)

Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.43 (no red card)

Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.03 (no red card)

Df Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.88 (no red card)

Mf Brian Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.7 (no red card)

Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.78 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.76 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.64 (no second yellow)

Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.35 (no red card)

Fw Liam Harries: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.38 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.1 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.78 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.72 (no injury) 
Df Joe Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.26 (no injury) 
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.02 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.16 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.18 (no injury) 
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.71 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.07 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no injury) 
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.24 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.33 (no injury) 
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.6 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.63 (no injury) 
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.74 (no injury) 
Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.31 (no injury) 
Df Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.34 (no injury) 
Mf Brian Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.47 (no injury) 
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.79 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.85 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.3 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Harries: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Lopez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 11

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  14  33  34  43
  Carlisle United          12   7  38  21  11

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 5 (43 - 38); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((34 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 8 ((33 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Joe Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Dominique Coltorti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 92.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Joe Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Dominique Coltorti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Dominique Coltorti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 98.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 96.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          12   7  38  21  11
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  14  33  34  43

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 33)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 3  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Draws are going to be our victories this season by the looks of it
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/10 - 8:41 AM  
Carlisle travelling to Gresty Road — interesting exercise in mediocrity meeting mediocrity. Should be educational for someone.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/10 - 6:30 PM  
Delighted to have a win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/17 - 5:33 AM  
 
 
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