(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 14 1 15 Gk Jonas Lien 14 1 15
Sw Saul Aquino 11 1 12 Sw Bradley Perry 5 2 7
Df Felipe Pérez 12 1 13 Df Michael Addo 12 0 12
Df Alain Fauché 15 1 16 Df Óscar Cespedes 10 2 12
Mf Hirving Borgetti 12 0 12 Df Jaap De wit 5 2 7
Mf Dennis Olsen 11 0 11 Mf Raouf Salem 10 2 12
Fw Julien De Boeck 13 1 14 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 10 1 11
Fw Matty Begum 13 0 13 Mf Victor Araújo 6 1 7
Fw Edgar Jimenez 10 1 11 Mf Yuriy Taran 5 2 7
Fw Jimmy Wells 9 1 10 Mf Jacques Mefire 2 2 4
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 6 2 8 Fw Elliot Wilkins 17 0 17
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 12 29 23 56 ROSTER TOTALS 15 7 31 41 17
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 12 38 23 56 T O T A L S 15 8 31 41 17
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.79 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.29 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.1 (no red card)
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.75 (no red card)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.09 (no red card)
Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.38 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.88 (no red card)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.32 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.86 (no red card)
Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.64 (no red card)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.78 (no red card)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.2 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.3 (no red card)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.92 (no red card)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.09 (no red card)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.28 (no red card)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.94 (no red card)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.74 (no red card)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.61 (no red card)
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.05 (no red card)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.09 (no red card)
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.42 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 16.88 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.69 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.0 (no injury)
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.33 (no injury)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.11 (no injury)
Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.03 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.76 (no injury)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.98 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.04 (no injury)
Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.28 (no injury)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.87 (no injury)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Watford Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 97.32 (no injury)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.05 (no injury)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.39 (no injury)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.53 (no injury)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.11 (no injury)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.24 (no injury)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.42 (no injury)
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.87 (no injury)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.15 (no injury)
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.01 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.35 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Alain Fauché SL 15
- Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 17
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 14
intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 15 12 38 23 56
Brighton & Hove Albion 15 8 31 41 17
Watford Fw Attacks = 25 (56 - 31); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 41) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 7 ((38 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 32
1: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 24.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 84.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 38.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 22.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 10.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
30: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 8.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
31: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 15 8 31 41 17
Watford 15 12 38 23 56
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 9 ((41 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 56) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Victor Araújo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Victor Araújo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 82.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Mf Victor Araújo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 3 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1
Match Notes
Things are unusually quiet around Whitdean leading up to this tussle with the Hornets. Good sign or bad?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/23 - 6:23 PM