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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mateus Caneira         11    2   13     Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi     13    2   15
Sw Tommy McGree           14    2   16     Sw Jakob Petersen         16    0   16
Df Sion Davey             13   -1   12     Df Percy Triggs           14    2   16
Df Santiago Castillo      11    2   13     Df Hans Murphy            14    1   15
Df Edwin O'Doherty         9    2   11     Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan       10    2   12
Mf Smahi Youssef          16    2   18     Df Dante Geromel           9    2   11
Mf Mario Pletikosa         9    2   11     Mf Babou Kebe             14    2   16
Mf Óscar Cota              5    2    7     Mf Akira Nagatomo          9    2   11
Fw Slava Levchenko        15    2   17     Fw Benedicto Ortega        9    2   11
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          15    2   17     Fw Martin Jashari          9    2   11
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric       9    2   11     Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong    5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 16 36 36 45        ROSTER TOTALS      15 16 54 27 29    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 16 36 41 52         T O T A L S       15 16 54 27 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mateus Caneira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.35 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.83 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.28 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.12 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.54 (no red card)

Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.57 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.55 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.67 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.57 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.76 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.15 (no red card)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.47 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.04 (no red card)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.36 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.83 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.38 (no red card)

Df Dante Geromel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.64 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.25 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.54 (no second yellow)

Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.83 (no red card)

Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.36 (no red card)

Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.19 (no red card)

Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mateus Caneira: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.13 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.37 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.63 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.63 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.54 (no injury) 
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.5 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.71 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.72 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Ryu Haraguchi is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ryu Haraguchi new match skill level =  8
      Ryu Haraguchi new match total level =  10
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.78 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.63 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.57 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.84 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.27 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.62 (no injury) 
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.87 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.77 (no injury) 
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.99 (no injury) 
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.5 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.77 (no injury) 
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.65 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Smahi Youssef SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Abdallah El Ahmadi SL 13

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Percy Triggs SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mateus Caneira SL 11

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  16  36  41  45
  Lincoln City FC          15  16  54  27  29

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 54)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((41 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 3 ((36 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          15  16  54  27  29
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  16  36  41  45

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 36)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((54 - 45) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Our season is crumbling. Need to pull ourselves together here
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/23 - 9:43 AM
Failure to score, failure to pull out season back on track
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/02 - 10:41 AM
 
 
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