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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          16   -1   15     Gk Xavier Lambert         15    2   17
Sw Fokke Taylor            9    2   11     Sw Cristhian Dybala       13    2   15
Df Boško Shpak            14    2   16     Df Toshihiro Nakamura     15    2   17
Df Carsten Kragelund       9    2   11     Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   13    2   15
Mf Hélder Carvalho        14    2   16     Df Jacob Beynon            9    2   11
Mf Albert Ohrel           14    2   16     Df Eirwyn Davey            4    2    6
Mf Alain Rieder            9    2   11     Mf Jacek Frankowski       14    2   16
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   15    1   16     Mf Marcus Teulet           9    2   11
Fw Andres Gutierrez       15    2   17     Mf Aliyu Edet              4    2    6
Fw Peter Goossens          9    2   11     Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      15    2   17
Fw Adam Vasilev            5    2    7     Fw Javier Gimenez          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 11 27 43 51        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 49 33 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 27 43 60         T O T A L S       18 15 49 40 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.65 (no red card)

Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.14 (no red card)

Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.53 (no red card)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.23 (no red card)

Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.24 (no red card)

Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.13 (no red card)

Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.54 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.66 (no red card)

Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.85 (no red card)

Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.52 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.16 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.26 (no red card)

Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.71 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.99 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.13 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.02 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.41 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.04 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.19 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.3 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.35 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.91 (no injury) 
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.22 (no injury) 
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.77 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.93 (no injury) 
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.15 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.28 (no injury) 
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.31 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no injury) 
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.14 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.96 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.15 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Xavier Lambert is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Xavier Lambert new match skill level =  8
      Xavier Lambert new match total level =  10
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.93 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.93 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.58 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.93 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.26 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.74 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.93 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.07 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Aliyu Edet is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Aliyu Edet new match skill level =  2
      Aliyu Edet new match total level =  4
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.28 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 8

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Toshihiro Nakamura SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             18  11  27  43  60
  Carlisle United          11  15  49  38  27

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 11 (60 - 49); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((43 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 94.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 79.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          11  15  49  38  27
  Port Vale FC             18  11  27  43  60

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 27)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 2  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Carlisle have absolutely had our number of late.
John (Port Vale FC) 07/13 - 3:18 PM
Not this time.
Dave (Carlisle United) 07/13 - 11:07 PM
 
 
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