(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PORT VALE FC CARLISLE UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Hyun Tae-yong 16 -1 15 Gk Xavier Lambert 15 2 17 Sw Fokke Taylor 9 2 11 Sw Cristhian Dybala 13 2 15 Df Boško Shpak 14 2 16 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 15 2 17 Df Carsten Kragelund 9 2 11 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 13 2 15 Mf Hélder Carvalho 14 2 16 Df Jacob Beynon 9 2 11 Mf Albert Ohrel 14 2 16 Df Eirwyn Davey 4 2 6 Mf Alain Rieder 9 2 11 Mf Jacek Frankowski 14 2 16 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 15 1 16 Mf Marcus Teulet 9 2 11 Fw Andres Gutierrez 15 2 17 Mf Aliyu Edet 4 2 6 Fw Peter Goossens 9 2 11 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 15 2 17 Fw Adam Vasilev 5 2 7 Fw Javier Gimenez 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 11 27 43 51 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 49 33 27 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0 ======================================================================= 18 11 27 43 60 T O T A L S 18 15 49 40 27 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.99 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.65 (no red card) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.14 (no red card) Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.53 (no red card) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.23 (no red card) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.24 (no red card) Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.13 (no red card) Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.54 (no red card) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.66 (no red card) Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.85 (no red card) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.52 (no red card) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.16 (no red card) ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.49 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.26 (no red card) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.71 (no red card) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.99 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.13 (no red card) Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.02 (no red card) Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.41 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.04 (no red card) Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.19 (no red card) Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.3 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.35 (no red card) Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.44 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.91 (no injury) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.22 (no injury) Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.77 (no injury) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.93 (no injury) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.15 (no injury) Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.28 (no injury) Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.31 (no injury) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no injury) Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.14 (no injury) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.96 (no injury) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.15 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Xavier Lambert is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Xavier Lambert new match skill level = 8 Xavier Lambert new match total level = 10 Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.93 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.93 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.58 (no injury) Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.93 (no injury) Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.26 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.74 (no injury) Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.93 (no injury) Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.07 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Aliyu Edet is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Aliyu Edet new match skill level = 2 Aliyu Edet new match total level = 4 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.28 (no injury) Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.39 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 15 - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 8 intRndPk = 26 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Toshihiro Nakamura SL 15 - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16 intRndPk = 29 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Port Vale FC 18 11 27 43 60 Carlisle United 11 15 49 38 27 Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 11 (60 - 49); result rounded up Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((43 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 3; rounded up) Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 14 1: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 94.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 79.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 11 15 49 38 27 Port Vale FC 18 11 27 43 60 Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw! Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 27) Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 43) / 2; rounded up) Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PORT VALE FC 2 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Carlisle have absolutely had our number of late.
John (Port Vale FC) 07/13 - 3:18 PM
Not this time.
Dave (Carlisle United) 07/13 - 11:07 PM