(H)

Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten

Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWANSEA CITY AFC BRENTFORD FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Pathé Ndong 13 2 15 Gk Jordan Rose 16 2 18 Df Miguel de la Cruz 15 1 16 Sw Gustav Hafström 10 2 12 Df Enrique Masis 13 2 15 Df Dragan Jedjav 10 2 12 Df Gharib Alami 10 0 10 Df Maciek Szymanski 9 2 11 Df Jordan Cummings 9 2 11 Df Chad Moore 9 0 9 Mf Walid Sellimi 15 2 17 Df Kazu Fukunishi 4 2 6 Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 11 2 13 Mf Shoji Tanaka 11 2 13 Fw Renato Cabanas 15 2 17 Mf Balla Diouf 9 2 11 Fw Gerry Maclaren 14 2 16 Fw Armin Seuffert 14 2 16 Fw Michaël Van der heijden16 2 18 Fw Michael Lagerbäck 10 2 12 Fw Yeltsin Venegas 9 2 11 Fw Ye-jun Ji 9 1 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 0 52 30 62 ROSTER TOTALS 18 12 38 24 38 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 0 52 34 67 T O T A L S 21 15 42 24 38 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.22 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.97 (no red card) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.24 (no red card) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.99 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.83 (no red card) Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.48 (no red card) Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.56 (no red card) Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.91 (no red card) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.73 (no red card) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.91 (no red card) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.74 (no red card) Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.01 (no red card) ******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 10 - Gk Hardness = 3 Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 13.37 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 79.14 (no red card) Sw Gustav Hafström: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 91.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 1.66 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Gustav Hafström new match skill level = 5 Gustav Hafström new match total level = 7 Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 85.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 58.93 (no red card) Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 7.53 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 65.93 (no second yellow) Df Chad Moore: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 22.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 15.76 (no red card) Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 58.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 76.85 (no red card) Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 27.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 11.69 (no red card) Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 25.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 69.8 (no red card) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 6.3 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 75.2 (no second yellow) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 46.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 26.71 (no red card) Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 9.76 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 63.25 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0% - Gk chance of injury = 5.0% Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 72.58 (no injury) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 32.11 (no injury) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 65.06 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 98.08 (no injury) Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 21.87 (no injury) Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 0.79 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Walid Sellimi is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Walid Sellimi new match skill level = 8 Walid Sellimi new match total level = 10 Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 23.01 (no injury) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 29.62 (no injury) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 29.5 (no injury) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 66.88 (no injury) Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 64.77 (no injury) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.5% Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.33 (no injury) Sw Gustav Hafström: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 56.81 (no injury) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 3.53 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Dragan Jedjav is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Dragan Jedjav new match skill level = 5 Dragan Jedjav new match total level = 7 Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 38.28 (no injury) Df Chad Moore: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 78.72 (no injury) Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 39.75 (no injury) Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury) Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 44.21 (no injury) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 46.86 (no injury) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 9.83 (no injury) Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 71.91 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16 - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 13 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick) 7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick) 8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 88 (pk blocked) 9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick) 10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Armin Seuffert SL 14 - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13 intRndPk = 87 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 15 0 52 27 67 Brentford FC 21 10 37 24 38 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 30 (67 - 37); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((52 - 38) / 5); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 35 1: Attack for Df Enrique Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 99.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Df Gharib Alami Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 49.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Gharib Alami Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 82.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 64.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 93.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 14.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 65.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 99.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 76.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 72.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 29: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 30: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 33: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 87.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 35: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) ******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brentford FC 21 10 37 24 38 Swansea City AFC 15 0 52 27 67 Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 52) Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 27) / 2; rounded up) Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 67) / 3; rounded up) Brentford FC Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWANSEA CITY AFC 5 - BRENTFORD FC 0
Match Notes

There was no stopping Roy today! Nicely done Roy!
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/02 - 3:44 AM