(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
DERBY COUNTY WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Fernando Pellistri 15 2 17 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18
Sw Artur Boniek 15 1 16 Sw Saul Aquino 15 0 15
Df Rodrigo de Corona 13 1 14 Df Felipe Pérez 14 2 16
Df Alex Hassan 13 2 15 Df Alain Fauché 15 2 17
Fw Ike Azeez 12 2 14 Df Walter McGree 9 2 11
Mf Peder Petersen 11 2 13 Mf Dennis Olsen 11 2 13
Mf Ognjen Barisic 9 1 10 Mf Federico Machado 9 2 11
Fw Yahia El mostafa 13 0 13 Fw Julien De Boeck 16 2 18
Fw Reimundo Almada 12 -1 11 Fw Edgar Jimenez 14 2 16
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal 12 0 12 Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 9 2 11
Fw Erik Christiansen 9 2 11 Fw Valerio Paredes 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 16 29 23 61 ROSTER TOTALS 18 15 44 24 56
0 0 0 0 2 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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17 16 29 24 72 T O T A L S 21 15 44 24 57
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.41 (no red card)
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.36 (no red card)
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.83 (no red card)
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.01 (no red card)
Fw Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.84 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Ike Azeez new match skill level = 6
Ike Azeez new match total level = 8
Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.9 (no red card)
Mf Ognjen Barisic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.63 (no red card)
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.14 (no red card)
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.65 (no red card)
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.71 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.32 (no second yellow)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.74 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.63 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.96 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.74 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.65 (no red card)
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.31 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.88 (no red card)
Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.4 (no red card)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.26 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.15 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.3 (no red card)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.27 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.21 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 6.34 (no injury)
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.34 (no injury)
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 97.31 (no injury)
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 80.54 (no injury)
Fw Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 91.56 (no injury)
Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.85 (no injury)
Mf Ognjen Barisic: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 43.06 (no injury)
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 48.44 (no injury)
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 5.09 (no injury)
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 66.36 (no injury)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 59.74 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 34.1 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 89.79 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 65.97 (no injury)
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 28.32 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 8.13 (no injury)
Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 3.67 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Dennis Olsen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Dennis Olsen new match skill level = 6
Dennis Olsen new match total level = 8
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 79.97 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 34.99 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 32.06 (no injury)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.04 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Hakim Aboukhlal is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Hakim Aboukhlal new match skill level = 5
Hakim Aboukhlal new match total level = 7
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.46 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 13
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Julien De Boeck SL 16
- Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 17 16 29 24 66
Watford 21 15 44 19 53
Derby County Fw Attacks = 22 (66 - 44); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 3 ((24 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Mf Ognjen Barisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Ognjen Barisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Ognjen Barisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 16.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 29.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 24.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 10.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 88.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 28.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 21.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 21 15 44 19 53
Derby County 17 16 29 24 66
Watford Fw Attacks = 24 (53 - 29); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 7.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
DERBY COUNTY 1 - WATFORD 4