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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        15    2   17     Gk Manuel Zakaria         13    2   15
Sw Ibou Sene              12    1   13     Sw Mitsuo Soma            16    2   18
Df Jeff Stewart           15    0   15     Df Herman Lambert          9    2   11
Df Edilberto Moreno       13    0   13     Df Zinedine Castex         5    2    7
Df Robert Harrison        10    1   11     Mf Vibeke Skov             9    2   11
Mf Jonatan López          16    0   16     Mf Mats Larsson            4    2    6
Df Erik Weber              9    0    9     Mf Abdel Baya              4    2    6
Mf Edwin O'Kelly           9    2   11     Fw Curtis Carr            19    2   21
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    15    0   15     Fw Marouane Peeters       13    2   15
Fw Gabriel Bacca          17    0   17     Fw Wladimir Groen          9    2   11
Fw Alberto Mina            9    2   11     Fw Jakub Fabianski         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 13 48 27 43        ROSTER TOTALS      15 18 18 23 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 13 48 27 52         T O T A L S       18 18 21 23 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.69 (no red card)

Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.11 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.43 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.51 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.04 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.6 (no red card)

Df Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.2 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.53 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.2 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.67 (no red card)

Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.71 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.01 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 17.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.66 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.67 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 93.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 35.81 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 96.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 80.86 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 63.22 (no red card)

Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.75 (no red card)

Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 55.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.56 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.11 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 94.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 37.01 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 38.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.22 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jakub Fabianski new match skill level =  5
      Jakub Fabianski new match total level =  7
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 24.33 (no injury) 
Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.18 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 22.03 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.38 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 55.71 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 33.4 (no injury) 
Df Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.13 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 13.72 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 27.02 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 65.18 (no injury) 
Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 24.24 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 17.48 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.51 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Herman Lambert is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.89 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.26 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.86 (no injury) 
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.97 (no injury) 
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.31 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.18 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.44 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.89 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 15

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17  13  48  27  52
  Oldham Athletic AFC      18  18  21  23  54

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 31 (52 - 21); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 21.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      18  18  21  23  54
  Chesterfield FC          17  13  48  27  52

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 6 (54 - 48); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 0  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
 
Match Notes
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Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/10 - 12:26 AM
 
 
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