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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk John Kosowski          16    1   17     Gk Artyom Szczesny        15    2   17
Df Kazu Fukunishi         12    2   14     Sw Carsten Larsen          9    2   11
Sw Gildardo Aguilar        7    2    9     Df Gabriele Gentiloni     15    2   17
Df Mats Krafth             9    2   11     Df Edoardo Vecchi         12    2   14
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo        14    2   16     Df Oliver Nielsen         10    2   12
Mf Francois Fournier      12    1   13     Df Leandro Lo Celso        9    2   11
Mf Elfaroui El mostafa     5    2    7     Mf Felipe Fernandez       15    2   17
Fw Lance James            14    1   15     Mf Clint Smith            17    1   18
Fw Claudio Zappi          13    2   15     Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun       9    2   11
Fw Solomon Obi            16    2   18     Fw Anir Tahiri            15    2   17
Fw Ben Hamadou             9    2   11     Fw Francois Abdoulaye     13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  9 25 36 59        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 54 46 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  9 25 36 68         T O T A L S       19 11 54 48 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.98 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.63 (no red card)

Sw Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.04 (no red card)

Df Mats Krafth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.95 (no red card)

Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.65 (no red card)

Mf Francois Fournier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.63 (no red card)

Mf Elfaroui El mostafa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.57 (no red card)

Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.84 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.79 (no red card)

Fw Solomon Obi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.9 (no red card)

Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.87 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.99 (no red card)

Sw Carsten Larsen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.28 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.37 (no red card)

Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.04 (no red card)

Df Oliver Nielsen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.91 (no red card)

Df Leandro Lo Celso: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.21 (no red card)

Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.3 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.43 (no red card)

Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.69 (no red card)

Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.28 (no red card)

Fw Francois Abdoulaye: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 21.55 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.95 (no injury) 
Sw Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.56 (no injury) 
Df Mats Krafth: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.55 (no injury) 
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.43 (no injury) 
Mf Francois Fournier: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.65 (no injury) 
Mf Elfaroui El mostafa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.58 (no injury) 
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.0 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.58 (no injury) 
Fw Solomon Obi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.58 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.5 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 59.94 (no injury) 
Sw Carsten Larsen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.45 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.83 (no injury) 
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 80.42 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Nielsen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.01 (no injury) 
Df Leandro Lo Celso: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.34 (no injury) 
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.65 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.16 (no injury) 
Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.35 (no injury) 
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.58 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdoulaye: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.84 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Solomon Obi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Artyom Szczesny SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Clint Smith SL 17
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 16

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             17   9  25  36  68
  Northampton Town FC      19  11  54  48  32

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 14 (68 - 54); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 30.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 1.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 22.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 29.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 19.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      19  11  54  48  32
  Brentford FC             17   9  25  36  68

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (32 - 25); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((48 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 68) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 0  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 

Match Notes

Compo rushing in without a plan again. Sellers will have Brentford organised and ready. This one could get ugly fast.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 29 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Go easy on us Al
~ Simon ~ Jun 29 (Northampton Town FC)  
Can’t focus on this with a World Cup going on 😉
~ Simon ~ Jun 29 (Northampton Town FC)  
And don't forget Compo that you are "on holiday" the entire month of August sir!
~ Allan ~ Jun 29 (Brentford FC)  
Big game here of the titans
~ Graham ~ Jul 4 (Cardiff City FC)  
We hoped to get 3 points but not a chance against the tough Mr. Compo! Nice going Simon.
~ Allan ~ Jul 4 (Brentford FC)  
 
 
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