(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC LEWES FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19 Gk Ethan Maddison 14 2 16
Sw Tjoris Dumfried 15 2 17 Sw Nazariy Kozak 16 2 18
Df Hayden Goodwin 17 2 19 Df Cristhian Meza 14 0 14
Df Abdul Otu 13 -1 12 Df Shay Given 13 1 14
Df Joel Calvo 9 2 11 Df Marco Sibaja 10 2 12
Mf Arthur Goodwin 13 2 15 Df Cássio Alisson 9 2 11
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 9 2 11 Mf Luis Jarquin 12 1 13
Fw Eduardo Luna 15 2 17 Mf Imed Ahmed 9 2 11
Fw Pol Ruiz 9 2 11 Mf Damian Nabbout 4 2 6
Fw Geovanny Arley 9 2 11 Fw Ichiro Sakai 14 2 16
Fw Victor Pino 5 2 7 Fw Amadou Wagué 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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19 17 42 26 46 ROSTER TOTALS 16 18 51 30 22
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
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22 20 42 26 55 T O T A L S 17 21 55 30 22
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.68 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.75 (no red card)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.42 (no red card)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.75 (no red card)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.73 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.79 (no second yellow)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.68 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.67 (no red card)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.34 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.44 (no red card)
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.99 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.05 (no red card)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.26 (no red card)
******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 66.56 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 34.19 (no red card)
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.04 (no red card)
Df Cristhian Meza: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.63 (no red card)
Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.74 (no red card)
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.5 (no red card)
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.19 (no red card)
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.1 (no red card)
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.28 (no red card)
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.36 (no red card)
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.66 (no red card)
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.51 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 65.44 (no injury)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.31 (no injury)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.06 (no injury)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.34 (no injury)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.3 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.18 (no injury)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.75 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.79 (no injury)
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.31 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.3 (no injury)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.06 (no injury)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 12.59 (no injury)
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.6 (no injury)
Df Cristhian Meza: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.15 (no injury)
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.08 (no injury)
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.85 (no injury)
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.88 (no injury)
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.32 (no injury)
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.77 (no injury)
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.92 (no injury)
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.99 (no injury)
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.7 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
- Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cristhian Meza SL 14
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17
intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 22 20 42 26 55
Lewes FC 17 21 55 30 22
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (55 - 55)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 7 ((42 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Joel Calvo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Joel Calvo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lewes FC 17 21 55 30 22
Preston North End FC 22 20 42 26 55
Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 42)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 26) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 55) / 3; rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
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F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1 - LEWES FC 0
Match Notes
We'll be going easy today, we don't want to see Dave relegated.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 02/24 - 3:00 PM
Running low on GPP....we have adopted the Brentford strategy of playing 10 hard and hoping for the best.
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/24 - 11:07 PM
Fair to say some GPP was wasted here.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 03/01 - 6:08 PM
Funny
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/01 - 7:01 PM