(H)

Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie

Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S TRANMERE ROVERS PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Mohammed Zakari 16 2 18 Gk Finlay Palmer 12 2 14 Sw Santiago Ramos 16 2 18 Df Gustavo García 15 2 17 Df Santiago Alonso 10 2 12 Df Mohamadou Sy 14 2 16 Df Martin Morales 9 1 10 Df Robert Bak 8 2 10 Mf Cobi Keller 10 2 12 Mf Oscar Bremer 14 2 16 Mf Hans Cornelius 9 2 11 Mf Jorge Perez 13 2 15 Fw Valentyn Shulga 15 2 17 Mf Faustino Verón 9 2 11 Fw Robbie Murphy 14 2 16 Mf Evaristo Masis 13 2 15 Fw Sebastian Zielinski 17 0 17 Mf Si-Won Min-woo 11 2 13 Fw Granit Wicky 13 2 15 Fw Syam Arfaoui 16 0 16 Fw Chibuikem Thomas 9 2 11 Fw Farzan Vestergaard 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 22 23 76 ROSTER TOTALS 14 0 43 70 27 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 2 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 21 18 26 26 78 T O T A L S 17 0 43 70 27 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.41 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 77.94 (no red card) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.4 (no red card) Df Santiago Alonso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.61 (no red card) Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.63 (no red card) Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.96 (no red card) Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.88 (no red card) Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.85 (no red card) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.55 (no red card) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.85 (no red card) Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.88 (no red card) Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.16 (no red card) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.81 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.66 (no red card) Df Gustavo García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.66 (no red card) Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.69 (no red card) Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.08 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.41 (no second yellow) Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.17 (no red card) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.29 (no red card) Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.96 (no red card) Mf Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.04 (no red card) Mf Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.04 (no red card) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.36 (no red card) Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.19 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 24.26 (no injury) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.2 (no injury) Df Santiago Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.92 (no injury) Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.38 (no injury) Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.19 (no injury) Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.82 (no injury) Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.65 (no injury) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.86 (no injury) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.35 (no injury) Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.06 (no injury) Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.91 (no injury) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 94.49 (no injury) Df Gustavo García: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.53 (no injury) Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.96 (no injury) Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.91 (no injury) Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.51 (no injury) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.93 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Jorge Perez is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Jorge Perez new match skill level = 7 Jorge Perez new match total level = 9 Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.8 (no injury) Mf Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.64 (no injury) Mf Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.07 (no injury) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.23 (no injury) Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.98 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Sebastian Zielinski SL 17 - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 12 intRndPk = 34 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick) ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Syam Arfaoui SL 16 - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Tranmere Rovers 21 18 26 26 78 Plymouth Argyle FC 17 0 43 64 27 Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap! Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 18 (78 - 43) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 64) / 2; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 3; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 18 1: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 24.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 17 0 43 64 27 Tranmere Rovers 21 18 26 26 78 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 1 (27 - 26); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 19 ((64 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 78) / 5; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Mf Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 70.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 14.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Mf Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 20.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Mf Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 31.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 11.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E TRANMERE ROVERS 1 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
Match Notes

Our season has gone quite off track. Hopefully we can stop the slide here.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/01 - 4:05 PM


Very lucky
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 03/01 - 7:09 PM

I actually feel that Plymouth was extremely unlucky here. We should have come out on top.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/02 - 1:55 AM

One can never underestimate the amount that Olmec loves Tranmere.
Alon (Tranmere Rovers) 03/05 - 9:56 AM

The amount of ritual sacrificing that Alon must do in the offseason is astounding LOL
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/07 - 7:13 PM