(H)
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRENTFORD FC PRESTON NORTH END FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jordan Rose 15 2 17 Gk Smahi Regragui 16 -2 14 Sw Ricardo Xavier 15 2 17 Sw Tjoris Dumfried 15 2 17 Df Martyn Owen 14 2 16 Df Hayden Goodwin 15 2 17 Df Tobias Damish 13 1 14 Df Oribe Vega 17 2 19 Df Chad Moore 13 2 15 Df Miguel Torres 9 2 11 Df Rasmus Antonsen 9 2 11 Mf Miguel López 15 2 17 Mf Shoji Tanaka 14 2 16 Mf Arthur Goodwin 9 2 11 Mf Alvaro Rodríguez 9 2 11 Fw Sebastian Murillo 12 2 14 Fw Lilian Cazenave 14 2 16 Fw Šime Sucic 9 2 11 Fw Michael Lagerbäck 13 2 15 Fw Raphaël Mayeux 9 2 11 Fw Armin Seuffert 9 2 11 Fw Geovanny Arley 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 17 56 27 42 ROSTER TOTALS 14 17 47 28 43 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 17 56 27 51 T O T A L S 17 17 47 28 43 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.12 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.07 (no red card) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.47 (no red card) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.78 (no red card) Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.34 (no red card) Df Chad Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.62 (no red card) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.62 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.85 (no second yellow) Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.49 (no red card) Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.7 (no red card) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.39 (no red card) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.09 (no red card) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.53 (no red card) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.35 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.62 (no red card) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.92 (no red card) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.53 (no red card) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.67 (no red card) Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.1 (no red card) Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.15 (no red card) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.93 (no red card) Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.48 (no red card) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.99 (no red card) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.36 (no red card) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.47 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.68 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.13 (no injury) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.24 (no injury) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.19 (no injury) Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.58 (no injury) Df Chad Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.4 (no injury) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.9 (no injury) Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.1 (no injury) Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no injury) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.55 (no injury) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.29 (no injury) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.41 (no injury) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.22 (no injury) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.17 (no injury) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.22 (no injury) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.44 (no injury) Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.93 (no injury) Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.37 (no injury) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.31 (no injury) Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.96 (no injury) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.32 (no injury) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.64 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Martyn Owen SL 14 - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16 intRndPk = 100 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 17 - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 15 intRndPk = 100 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brentford FC 19 17 56 27 51 Preston North End FC 17 17 47 28 43 Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 4 (51 - 47); result rounded up Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 2; rounded up) Brentford FC Df Attacks = 5 ((56 - 43) / 3); result rounded up Brentford FC Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Chad Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Martyn Owen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Chad Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Df Tobias Damish Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 17 17 47 28 43 Brentford FC 19 17 56 27 51 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 56) Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 51) / 3; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 86.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRENTFORD FC 1 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
Match Notes
We are 5-goal underdogs to Sir Ian today...
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/12 - 10:21 PM
Fortunate to get a point today against the I-Man.
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/13 - 9:16 PM