(H)
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LINCOLN CITY FC CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi 13 2 15 Gk Gregory Reyna 15 2 17
Sw Jakob Petersen 14 1 15 Sw Philippe Manago 8 2 10
Df Percy Triggs 16 -2 14 Df Eirwyn Davey 15 2 17
Df Dante Geromel 13 2 15 Df Jacob Beynon 13 2 15
Df Hans Murphy 12 2 14 Df Marco Sa 8 -1 7
Mf Babou Kebe 14 0 14 Df Nicola Panucci 4 2 6
Mf Akira Nagatomo 13 2 15 Mf Aliyu Edet 14 2 16
Mf Aliou Sow 9 2 11 Mf Marco D'amato 8 2 10
Fw Martin Jashari 15 2 17 Mf Joon Jung-hwan 2 2 4
Fw Simão DaSilva 13 2 15 Fw Jordan Pérez 8 2 10
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong 8 2 10 Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 15 43 40 42 ROSTER TOTALS 17 10 45 30 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 1 6 2 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
15 15 44 46 44 T O T A L S 17 12 52 30 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.19 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.86 (no red card)
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.75 (no red card)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.15 (no red card)
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.56 (no red card)
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.79 (no red card)
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.92 (no red card)
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.15 (no red card)
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.86 (no red card)
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.52 (no red card)
Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.84 (no red card)
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.8 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.13 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.34 (no red card)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.73 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.87 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.47 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.11 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.45 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.53 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.67 (no red card)
Mf Joon Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.27 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.35 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.03 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.09 (no injury)
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.68 (no injury)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.4 (no injury)
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no injury)
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.26 (no injury)
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.05 (no injury)
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.4 (no injury)
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.37 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Aliou Sow is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Aliou Sow new match skill level = 5
Aliou Sow new match total level = 7
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.69 (no injury)
Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.28 (no injury)
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.5 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.62 (no injury)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.49 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.59 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.57 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.9 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.27 (no injury)
Mf Joon Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.03 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.5 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.08 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Percy Triggs SL 16
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15
intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 15
- Defending Gk: Abdallah El Ahmadi SL 13
intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lincoln City FC 15 15 44 42 44
Carlisle United 17 12 52 30 16
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 52)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((42 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 10 ((44 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Dante Geromel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Df Dante Geromel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 12 52 30 16
Lincoln City FC 15 15 44 42 44
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 44)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 2 ((52 - 44) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Marco Sa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Both squads here scratching for final promo slot, best of luck, Dave!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 07/12 - 4:50 PM
We had to hope the GK would pull off the required amount of saves for this one. Well done, Mike.
Dave (Carlisle United) 07/13 - 2:45 AM