(H)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC HEREFORD UNITED FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed 14 2 16 Gk Mauricio Higuain 9 2 11
Sw John Taylor 7 2 9 Sw Victor Cruz 7 0 7
Df Santiago Castillo 13 2 15 Df Tyler Long 11 1 12
Df Emir Sellimi 10 2 12 Df Alan Cole 9 2 11
Df David O'Reilly 10 2 12 Df Seny Sarr 4 2 6
Mf Stefan Boniek 14 2 16 Mf Filip Kramaric 4 2 6
Mf Thomas Robinson 10 2 12 Mf Blaise Akanji 4 2 6
Mf Patrice Djemba 9 2 11 Fw Manuel Benaglio 12 1 13
Fw Ryu Haraguchi 13 2 15 Fw Sviatoslav Polishchuk 11 -2 9
Fw Yusuf Kalu 12 2 14 Fw Kaj Jensen 9 2 11
Fw Luigi Suarez 10 2 12 Fw Lukasz Dudka 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 9 39 39 41 ROSTER TOTALS 11 7 29 12 43
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 3 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 9 39 41 48 T O T A L S 13 7 29 15 43
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.91 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.14 (no red card)
Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.84 (no red card)
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.06 (no red card)
Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.84 (no red card)
Df David O'Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.25 (no red card)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.61 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.67 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.25 (no second yellow)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.25 (no red card)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.26 (no red card)
Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.85 (no red card)
Fw Luigi Suarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.32 (no red card)
******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.55 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.94 (no red card)
Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 44.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.28 (no red card)
Df Tyler Long: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 30.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 22.74 (no red card)
Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.96 (no red card)
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.22 (no red card)
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 23.41 (no red card)
Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 19.58 (no red card)
Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 71.28 (no red card)
Fw Sviatoslav Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.89 (no red card)
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.81 (no red card)
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 38.84 (no injury)
Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.52 (no injury)
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 86.86 (no injury)
Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 44.39 (no injury)
Df David O'Reilly: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.41 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 29.39 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 5.72 (no injury)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.03 (no injury)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 38.08 (no injury)
Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.22 (no injury)
Fw Luigi Suarez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 57.85 (no injury)
******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 3
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 29.36 (no injury)
Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.49 (no injury)
Df Tyler Long: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.71 (no injury)
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.83 (no injury)
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.06 (no injury)
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.61 (no injury)
Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.75 (no injury)
Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.0 (no injury)
Fw Sviatoslav Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.3 (no injury)
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.18 (no injury)
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.35 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Stefan Boniek SL 14
- Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Manuel Benaglio SL 12
- Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 14
intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 16 9 39 41 48
Hereford United FC 13 7 29 15 43
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 19 (48 - 29); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((41 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 43) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 32
1: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 63.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 17.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 52.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Thomas Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
32: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Hereford United FC 13 7 29 15 43
Crewe Alexandra FC 16 9 39 41 48
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 4 (43 - 39); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 41) / 2; rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 61.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0 - HEREFORD UNITED FC 1
Match Notes
Had some joy in this fixture recently
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/30 - 5:32 AM
32 attacks to 4. Shot happens but against an SL9 keeper and an SL7 sweeper. It’s a funny old game. 😁
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/07 - 7:42 AM
Wow sorry Carl that was somewhat against the run of play to say the least!
Alex (Hereford United FC) 07/10 - 4:48 PM