(H)
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Craig Carsley 15 2 17 Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko 15 2 17
Sw Walter Wilson 15 1 16 Sw Toni Meyer 11 2 13
Df Edoardo Vecchi 12 2 14 Df Hiroyuki Matsuda 14 2 16
Df Sakariya Hedman 10 2 12 Df Goronwy Wright 14 2 16
Df Daley Hiddink 9 2 11 Df Rory Kelly 8 2 10
Df Gabriele Gentiloni 8 0 8 Mf Andrej Kovac 13 2 15
Mf Clint Smith 18 2 20 Mf Cesar Beto 9 2 11
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes 12 2 14 Mf Cadwaladr Harding 4 2 6
Mf Felipe Fernandez 8 2 10 Fw Mohammed Gyasi 16 2 18
Fw Anir Tahiri 13 1 14 Fw Eddie McBride 8 0 8
Fw Formose Drame 8 2 10 Fw Benjamin Tchato 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 16 45 44 24 ROSTER TOTALS 17 13 42 32 32
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 7 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 16 45 51 24 T O T A L S 19 13 42 32 32
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.35 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.14 (no red card)
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.86 (no red card)
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.24 (no red card)
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.22 (no red card)
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.8 (no red card)
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.59 (no red card)
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.92 (no red card)
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.91 (no red card)
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.63 (no red card)
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.33 (no red card)
Fw Formose Drame: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.13 (no red card)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.67 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.44 (no red card)
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.08 (no red card)
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.54 (no red card)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.55 (no red card)
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.4 (no red card)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.78 (no red card)
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.29 (no red card)
Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.61 (no red card)
Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.0 (no red card)
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.38 (no red card)
Fw Benjamin Tchato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.58 (no injury)
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.11 (no injury)
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.49 (no injury)
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.23 (no injury)
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.26 (no injury)
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.04 (no injury)
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.03 (no injury)
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.4 (no injury)
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.0 (no injury)
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.42 (no injury)
Fw Formose Drame: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.75 (no injury)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.33 (no injury)
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.61 (no injury)
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.9 (no injury)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.59 (no injury)
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.52 (no injury)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.67 (no injury)
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.9 (no injury)
Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.84 (no injury)
Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.04 (no injury)
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.01 (no injury)
Fw Benjamin Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.96 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Clint Smith SL 18
- Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 15
intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mohammed Gyasi SL 16
- Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 15
intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Northampton Town FC 20 16 45 51 24
Weston-super-Mare AFC 19 13 42 32 32
Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 42)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((51 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((45 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Df Daley Hiddink
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Edoardo Vecchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Gabriele Gentiloni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Daley Hiddink
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Edoardo Vecchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 36.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 42.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 29.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 5.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 78.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 60.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Weston-super-Mare AFC 19 13 42 32 32
Northampton Town FC 20 16 45 51 24
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 45)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 51) / 2; rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((42 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 65.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Rory Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 1 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1
Match Notes
fat chance of picking up prediction points in this one!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/26 - 4:01 PM