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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           15    1   16     Gk Fernando Pellistri     15    2   17
Sw Jakob Petersen         15    2   17     Sw Artur Boniek           15    1   16
Df Hans Murphy            13    2   15     Df Alex Hassan            13    2   15
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan        8    2   10     Df Mikkel Iversen          8    2   10
Df Percy Triggs            8    1    9     Df Johnny Müller           4    2    6
Mf Weston Williamson      13    2   15     Df Khalid Harit            4    2    6
Mf Aliou Sow              12    2   14     Df Ike Azeez              12    2   14
Mf Babou Kebe              8    2   10     Mf Henry Rowles            8    2   10
Fw Vieira Mario           15    1   16     Mf Cédric Kenne            4    2    6
Fw Jay Hanny              16    1   17     Fw Erik Christiansen       8    2   10
Fw Owen Jones              8    2   10     Fw Eligio Palacios         4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 17 34 39 43        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 51 16 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  1    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 17 34 43 48         T O T A L S       17 16 51 17 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.13 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.69 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.67 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.31 (no red card)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.31 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.48 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.97 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.03 (no red card)

Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.77 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.26 (no red card)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.97 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.24 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.21 (no red card)

Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.2 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.83 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Mikkel Iversen new match skill level =  4
      Mikkel Iversen new match total level =  6

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.56 (no red card)

Df Khalid Harit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.31 (no red card)

Df Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.72 (no red card)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.34 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.25 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.22 (no red card)

Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 80.57 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.97 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.02 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.81 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.47 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.24 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.5 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.67 (no injury) 
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.86 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.63 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.74 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 90.78 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.97 (no injury) 
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.31 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.69 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.19 (no injury) 
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.5 (no injury) 
Df Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.86 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.86 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Henry Rowles is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Henry Rowles new match skill level =  4
      Henry Rowles new match total level =  6
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 5.87 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.67 (no injury) 
Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jay Hanny SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alex Hassan SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 15

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          16  17  34  43  48
  Derby County             17  16  47  13  17

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 1 (48 - 47); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((43 - 13) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 6 ((34 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Percy Triggs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             17  16  47  13  17
  Lincoln City FC          16  17  34  43  48

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 34)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((13 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
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