(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PORT VALE FC BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong 16 -1 15 Gk Jonas Lien 16 2 18
Sw Fokke Taylor 9 2 11 Sw Bradley Perry 8 2 10
Df Sion Bowen 14 1 15 Df Michael Addo 12 2 14
Df Carsten Kragelund 9 2 11 Df Niklas Köhler 9 2 11
Mf Hélder Carvalho 14 2 16 Df Jaap De wit 8 2 10
Mf Alain Rieder 8 2 10 Mf Ibrahim Yusuf 12 2 14
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 15 1 16 Mf Yuriy Taran 8 2 10
Fw Andres Gutierrez 14 2 16 Mf Ryan Brady 8 2 10
Fw Ricardo Jashari 14 2 16 Fw Hamdi Mabrouk 10 2 12
Fw Peter Goossens 8 2 10 Fw Takao Soma 8 2 10
Fw Adam Vasilev 4 2 6 Fw Ian Lee 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 11 26 26 64 ROSTER TOTALS 18 10 35 34 31
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 11 26 26 73 T O T A L S 18 11 35 34 31
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.48 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.83 (no red card)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.13 (no red card)
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.82 (no red card)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.32 (no red card)
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.33 (no red card)
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.66 (no red card)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.35 (no red card)
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.44 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.96 (no second yellow)
Fw Ricardo Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.92 (no red card)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.06 (no red card)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.93 (no red card)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.45 (no red card)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.06 (no red card)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.47 (no red card)
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.23 (no red card)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.74 (no red card)
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.08 (no red card)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.39 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.06 (no red card)
Fw Hamdi Mabrouk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.0 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.28 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.62 (no second yellow)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.57 (no injury)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.54 (no injury)
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.43 (no injury)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.66 (no injury)
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.28 (no injury)
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.99 (no injury)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.95 (no injury)
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.77 (no injury)
Fw Ricardo Jashari: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.45 (no injury)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.38 (no injury)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.5 (no injury)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 34.54 (no injury)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.07 (no injury)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.88 (no injury)
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.46 (no injury)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.09 (no injury)
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.83 (no injury)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.21 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.75 (no injury)
Fw Hamdi Mabrouk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.34 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.86 (no injury)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.51 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 15
- Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michael Addo SL 12
- Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16
intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 18 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 18 11 26 26 73
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 11 35 34 31
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 38 (73 - 35); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 31) / 3; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 38
1: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
30: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
35: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
36: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
37: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 39.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
38: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 11 35 34 31
Port Vale FC 18 11 26 26 73
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 5 (31 - 26); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 4 ((34 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 73) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Hamdi Mabrouk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PORT VALE FC 2 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 3
Match Notes
There’s no way we win this.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/05 - 8:07 PM
Brian might win this
John (Port Vale FC) 07/05 - 8:15 PM
An extremely lucky road win that we probably don’t deserve. If nothing else, I am sure John is happy for us.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/06 - 6:30 PM
I'm not, but thank you.
John (Port Vale FC) 07/13 - 3:17 PM