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Sunday, March 15th, 2026 - 04:32:27 AM (gmt)
 
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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl           13    2   15     Gk Kris Vermant           14    2   16
Sw Piotr Sobolewski       14    2   16     Df Josip Sommer           13    2   15
Df Festus Abubakar        13    2   15     Df Fabiano Nardone        11    2   13
Df Edwin O'Doherty        12    2   14     Df Pedro Romero            8    2   10
Df Magnus Waering          8    2   10     Df Bozidar Šimic           8    1    9
Mf Mario Pletikosa        12    2   14     Mf Nazariy Gusak          14    2   16
Mf Marko Zabel            11    2   13     Mf Peter Roldan            8    2   10
Mf Ivan Jackson            8    2   10     Mf Marcos Gomez            4    2    6
Fw Bassem Mkademi         14    2   16     Fw Aaron Jones            16    1   17
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      15    2   17     Fw Mohamed Gharbi         13    2   15
Fw Olivier Havet           9    2   11     Fw Luís Oliveira           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 16 39 37 44        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 47 32 42    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  3  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 16 39 39 51         T O T A L S       19  0 54 35 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.98 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.53 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.87 (no red card)

Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.59 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.18 (no red card)

Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.31 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.25 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.2 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.0 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.12 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 33.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 37.25 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 10.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.76 (no red card)

Df Fabiano Nardone: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 29.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 27.87 (no red card)

Df Pedro Romero: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 34.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 70.88 (no red card)

Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 12.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.29 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 87.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.56 (no red card)

Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 20.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.51 (no red card)

Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 65.86 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 21.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 35.18 (no red card)

Fw Mohamed Gharbi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 14.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 75.21 (no red card)

Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 96.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.45 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 1.99 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Per Holmdahl is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Per Holmdahl new match skill level =  7
      Per Holmdahl new match total level =  9
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 3.8 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Piotr Sobolewski is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Piotr Sobolewski new match skill level =  7
      Piotr Sobolewski new match total level =  9
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 31.45 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 25.17 (no injury) 
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 65.89 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.18 (no injury) 
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 97.17 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 66.2 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.84 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 23.06 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.9 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 81.99 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.56 (no injury) 
Df Fabiano Nardone: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.77 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Romero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.48 (no injury) 
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.93 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.84 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.13 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.75 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.08 (no injury) 
Fw Mohamed Gharbi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.94 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.25 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Zvonimir Bradaric SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 58 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 7

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       9   9  39  39  51
  Dorchester Town          19   0  54  35  42

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (51 - 54)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((39 - 35) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Marko Zabel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Marko Zabel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 8.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 55.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          19   0  54  35  42
  Crewe Alexandra FC       9   9  39  39  51

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 2 (42 - 39) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 1 ((54 - 51) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Bozidar Šimic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 64.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Mohamed Gharbi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Mohamed Gharbi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 39.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
Dorchester are always a difficult opponent
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/22 - 11:43 AM  
Crewe have a two point advantage over us, so we could do with picking up at least a point.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/22 - 5:14 PM  
The crowd didn’t see much goal mouth action
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/01 - 9:46 AM  
Yes a bit of a dull game but happy with a point.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/01 - 7:19 PM  
 
 
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