(H)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Per Holmdahl 9 2 11 Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18
Sw Tommy McGree 13 2 15 Sw Édouard Gning 12 1 13
Df Michaël Van der Heyden 15 2 17 Df Vagner Marcelo 12 2 14
Df Sion Davey 13 2 15 Df Laurence Clarke 9 2 11
Df Edwin O'Doherty 8 2 10 Df Mbaye Dieng 8 2 10
Mf Smahi Youssef 16 2 18 Mf Johnny Rieder 9 2 11
Mf Patrice Djemba 14 2 16 Mf Bruno Freda 8 2 10
Mf Óscar Cota 4 2 6 Fw Atef Omar 15 2 17
Fw Slava Levchenko 15 2 17 Fw Paul Dumont 13 2 15
Fw Ryu Haraguchi 15 2 17 Fw Fredrik Engberg 9 2 11
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 8 2 10 Fw Kian Clarke 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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11 15 42 40 44 ROSTER TOTALS 18 13 35 21 54
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
11 15 42 42 51 T O T A L S 18 13 35 21 54
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.79 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.86 (no red card)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.96 (no red card)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.91 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.63 (no second yellow)
Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.17 (no red card)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.5 (no red card)
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.77 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.51 (no second yellow)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.68 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.82 (no red card)
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.29 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.25 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.08 (no second yellow)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.8 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.47 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.32 (no red card)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.55 (no red card)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.64 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.27 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.57 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.95 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.04 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.72 (no red card)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.08 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.51 (no second yellow)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.2 (no injury)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.42 (no injury)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.72 (no injury)
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.24 (no injury)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.24 (no injury)
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.95 (no injury)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.79 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.06 (no injury)
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.71 (no injury)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.25 (no injury)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.31 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 80.95 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.27 (no injury)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.54 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.36 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.71 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.61 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no injury)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.51 (no injury)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.71 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Smahi Youssef SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Atef Omar SL 15
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 9
intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 11 15 42 42 51
Nottingham Forest 18 13 35 21 54
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 16 (51 - 35); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((42 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 54) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 13 35 21 54
Crewe Alexandra FC 11 15 42 42 51
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 12 (54 - 42); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 50.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 92.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 93.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2
Match Notes
Forest seldom even allow us a point recently
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/16 - 9:03 AM
I was thinking I should have PFD here so happy with this result.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/22 - 8:58 PM
Forest not as distracted this session as we hoped
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/23 - 9:42 AM