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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           14    2   16     Gk Jordan Rose            16    2   18
Df Mauricio López         13    2   15     Sw Gustav Hafström        10    2   12
Df Abubakar Usman          9    2   11     Df Dragan Jedjav          10    2   12
Df Kenzie Fraser           7    2    9     Df Chad Moore              9    0    9
Mf Marco Arce             11    2   13     Df Maciek Szymanski        8    2   10
Mf Ludwig Troell           8    2   10     Df Kazu Fukunishi          4    2    6
Mf Claes Östberg           7    2    9     Mf Geert De Ketelaere     13    0   13
Fw Jamie Behich           12    2   14     Mf Cédric Kamga           10    1   11
Fw Rónald Aguilera        12    2   14     Mf Victor Moreira          4    2    6
Fw Ignacio Pékerman       11    2   13     Fw Michael Lagerbäck      10    2   12
Fw Pedro Viera             8    2   10     Fw Ye-jun Ji               8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 35 32 51        ROSTER TOTALS      18 12 37 30 22    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  3  4  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 35 32 60         T O T A L S       21 15 41 30 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 24.02 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.85 (no red card)

Df Abubakar Usman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.7 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.45 (no red card)

Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.46 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.59 (no second yellow)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.99 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.67 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.05 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.45 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.65 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 29.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 83.67 (no red card)

Sw Gustav Hafström: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 85.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 21.48 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 85.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 52.15 (no red card)

Df Chad Moore: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 95.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 46.61 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 89.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 27.43 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 1.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 8.46 (no second yellow)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 3.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 47.5 (no second yellow)

Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 56.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 84.89 (no red card)

Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 38.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 26.73 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 65.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 38.86 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 40.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 88.76 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 58.78 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 70.22 (no injury) 
Df Abubakar Usman: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 7.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Abubakar Usman is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 31.68 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 78.98 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 32.08 (no injury) 
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 4.89 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Claes Östberg is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Claes Östberg new match skill level =  4
      Claes Östberg new match total level =  6
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 95.42 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 46.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 47.79 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 75.84 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 91.8 (no injury) 
Sw Gustav Hafström: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 30.56 (no injury) 
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 12.65 (no injury) 
Df Chad Moore: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 82.67 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 87.52 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 83.87 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 14.71 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 53.83 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 96.58 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 14.76 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 19.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Mauricio López SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Geert De Ketelaere SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          17   0  35  29  60
  Brentford FC             21  15  41  30  22

Southend United Fw Attacks = 19 (60 - 41); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 3 ((35 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Mauricio López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 71.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 74.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 66.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 94.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 67.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 63.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             21  15  41  30  22
  Southend United          17   0  35  29  60

Southend United is using Offside Trap!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 35)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 29) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 3  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
Match Notes
Glad to see this preview comment about my friend Colin's team...

Southend United
• Southend United are free of injuries entering today's match.
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/15 - 10:19 PM
Kicked up n doon the park but away with all the points ;-)
Colin (Southend United) 02/23 - 1:22 AM
This match was unfair. First off we lost. Secondly when we injured Colin's player...erm...when he fell down on his own...he lose 0 FIT!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/23 - 7:42 PM
Totally unfair to our Brentford Angels. 😎

Well played Colin!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/23 - 7:42 PM
 
 
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