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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tadhg Boyle            15    1   16     Gk Xavier Lambert         15    2   17
Df Enoch Yahaya            7    1    8     Sw Ramires Jesus           8    2   10
Df Yozhef Shapoval        13    2   15     Df Toshihiro Nakamura     14    2   16
Df Frederik Hansen         8    2   10     Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   13    2   15
Df Pedro Canobbio          4    2    6     Df Damir Vasilj           12    2   14
Mf Etienne Waseige        11    2   13     Df Jacob Beynon            8    2   10
Mf Leif Abrahamsen         8    2   10     Mf Jacek Frankowski       14    2   16
Mf Christophe Thuram      13    0   13     Mf Peter Bengtsson        13    1   14
Mf Jens Larsen            14    0   14     Mf Marcus Teulet           8    2   10
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung        8    2   10     Fw Javier Gimenez          8    2   10
Fw Kevin De Smet           8    2   10     Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek      4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 39 50 20        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 55 40 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 39 59 20         T O T A L S       17 13 55 47 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.62 (no red card)

Df Enoch Yahaya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.45 (no second yellow)

Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.54 (no red card)

Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.77 (no red card)

Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.31 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.37 (no red card)

Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.62 (no red card)

Mf Christophe Thuram: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.13 (no red card)

Mf Jens Larsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.06 (no red card)

Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.41 (no red card)

Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.23 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.33 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.64 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.94 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.3 (no red card)

Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.8 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.52 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.73 (no red card)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.89 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.19 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.09 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.18 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.44 (no injury) 
Df Enoch Yahaya: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.28 (no injury) 
Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.24 (no injury) 
Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.06 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.28 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.78 (no injury) 
Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.96 (no injury) 
Mf Christophe Thuram: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.11 (no injury) 
Mf Jens Larsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.71 (no injury) 
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.17 (no injury) 
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.86 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.7 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.06 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.59 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.68 (no injury) 
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.37 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.66 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.56 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.9 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.23 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.55 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jens Larsen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 15

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Toshihiro Nakamura SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Tadhg Boyle SL 15

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             16   0  39  59  20
  Carlisle United          17  13  55  47  16

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 55)
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 6 ((59 - 47) / 2) ; result rounded up
Leeds United Df Attacks = 5 ((39 - 16) / 5); result rounded up
Leeds United Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Enoch Yahaya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Leif Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  13  55  47  16
  Leeds United             16   0  39  59  20

Leeds United is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 39)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((47 - 59) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 6 ((55 - 20) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 96.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 67.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 28.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 2  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
This was a hard fought win in this match!! We desperately needed the 3 pts.
Abe (Leeds United) 07/08 - 10:51 AM
 
 
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