(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC TRANMERE ROVERS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19 Gk Mohammed Zakari 16 2 18
Sw Tjoris Dumfried 15 2 17 Sw Santiago Ramos 16 2 18
Df Hayden Goodwin 16 2 18 Df Dong Min Young-pyo 11 2 13
Df Abdul Otu 13 -1 12 Df Martin Morales 9 2 11
Df Joel Calvo 9 2 11 Mf Cobi Keller 10 2 12
Mf Arthur Goodwin 12 2 14 Mf Hans Cornelius 9 2 11
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 9 2 11 Fw Valentyn Shulga 14 2 16
Fw Eduardo Luna 15 2 17 Fw Robbie Murphy 13 2 15
Fw Pol Ruiz 9 2 11 Fw Sebastian Zielinski 16 2 18
Fw Geovanny Arley 9 2 11 Fw Chibuikem Thomas 9 2 11
Fw Victor Pino 4 2 6 Fw Kwadwo Djiku 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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19 17 41 25 45 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 24 23 66
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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22 17 41 25 54 T O T A L S 21 21 24 23 66
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.86 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.34 (no red card)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.01 (no red card)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.81 (no red card)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.09 (no red card)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.41 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.27 (no red card)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.59 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.83 (no red card)
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.33 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.8 (no red card)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.59 (no red card)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 5.84 (no red card)
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.05 (no red card)
Df Dong Min Young-pyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.1 (no red card)
Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.55 (no red card)
Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.78 (no red card)
Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.68 (no red card)
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.22 (no red card)
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.36 (no red card)
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.85 (no red card)
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.73 (no red card)
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.7 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 51.93 (no injury)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.12 (no injury)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.84 (no injury)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.83 (no injury)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.22 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.77 (no injury)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.81 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.03 (no injury)
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.27 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.33 (no injury)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.03 (no injury)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 4.49 (no injury)
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.81 (no injury)
Df Dong Min Young-pyo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.14 (no injury)
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.75 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Martin Morales is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Martin Morales new match skill level = 5
Martin Morales new match total level = 7
Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.31 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Cobi Keller is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.34 (no injury)
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.41 (no injury)
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.95 (no injury)
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.4 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Sebastian Zielinski is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Sebastian Zielinski new match skill level = 8
Sebastian Zielinski new match total level = 10
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.88 (no injury)
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.75 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 16
- Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Valentyn Shulga SL 14
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17
intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 22 17 41 25 54
Tranmere Rovers 21 21 20 23 58
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 34 (54 - 20); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 35
1: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 61.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 48.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 65.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 4.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 70.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 70.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 69.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
34: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
35: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tranmere Rovers 21 21 20 23 58
Preston North End FC 22 17 41 25 54
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 17 (58 - 41); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 54) / 3; rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 10.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 43.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 11.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 12.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 17.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 60.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 0.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 0 - TRANMERE ROVERS 0