(H)
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S TRANMERE ROVERS BRENTFORD FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Maciej Piechniczek 15 0 15 Gk Jordan Rose 14 2 16 Sw Santiago Ramos 15 2 17 Sw Ricardo Xavier 15 2 17 Df Júlio Casemiro 11 2 13 Df Dragan Jedjav 14 1 15 Df Christian Kristensen 9 2 11 Df Martyn Owen 13 2 15 Mf Søren Jacobsen 10 2 12 Df Tobias Damish 13 1 14 Mf Cobi Keller 9 2 11 Df Rasmus Antonsen 9 2 11 Fw Sebastian Zielinski 16 2 18 Mf Cédric Kamga 13 2 15 Fw Granit Wicky 16 -1 15 Mf Alvaro Rodríguez 8 2 10 Fw Valentyn Shulga 13 2 15 Fw Lilian Cazenave 14 2 16 Fw Robbie Murphy 9 2 11 Fw Michael Lagerbäck 13 2 15 Fw Nathan Nabbout 9 2 11 Fw Armin Seuffert 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 17 24 23 70 ROSTER TOTALS 16 17 55 25 41 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 19 26 25 75 T O T A L S 16 17 55 25 41 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 86.45 (no red card) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.19 (no red card) Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.48 (no red card) Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.04 (no red card) Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.11 (no red card) Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.65 (no red card) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.32 (no red card) Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.91 (no red card) Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.99 (no red card) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.28 (no red card) Fw Nathan Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.73 (no red card) ******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.39 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.46 (no red card) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.35 (no red card) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.34 (no red card) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.01 (no red card) Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.21 (no red card) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.57 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.49 (no red card) Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.78 (no red card) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no red card) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.01 (no red card) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.19 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1 - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 7.27 (no injury) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.37 (no injury) Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.21 (no injury) Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.62 (no injury) Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.48 (no injury) Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.75 (no injury) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.61 (no injury) Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.78 (no injury) Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.95 (no injury) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.35 (no injury) Fw Nathan Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.96 (no injury) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 72.36 (no injury) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.31 (no injury) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.11 (no injury) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury) Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.75 (no injury) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.62 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.47 (no injury) Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.69 (no injury) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.64 (no injury) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.2 (no injury) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.07 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Sebastian Zielinski SL 16 - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 14 intRndPk = 75 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick) ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 14 - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 32 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Tranmere Rovers 18 19 26 25 75 Brentford FC 16 17 55 25 41 Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 20 (75 - 55); result rounded up Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 25) / 2; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 41) / 3; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 13.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Nathan Nabbout Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 88.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Nathan Nabbout Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Nathan Nabbout Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 48.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brentford FC 16 17 55 25 41 Tranmere Rovers 18 19 26 25 75 Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 15 (41 - 26); result rounded up Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 25) / 2; rounded up) Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 75) / 3; rounded up) Brentford FC Total Attacks = 15 1: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E TRANMERE ROVERS 2 - BRENTFORD FC 2