(H)

Watford
James Tucker

Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD PRESTON NORTH END FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Riccardo Di matteo 14 1 15 Gk Smahi Regragui 13 0 13 Sw Saul Aquino 13 1 14 Sw Tjoris Dumfried 12 1 13 Df Walter McGree 10 1 11 Df Hayden Goodwin 14 1 15 Df Victor Bach 8 1 9 Df Abdul Otu 12 1 13 Df Keita Hattori 5 2 7 Mf Angus McKay 13 2 15 Mf Hirving Borgetti 8 0 8 Mf Issa Daouda 2 2 4 Mf Seth Sibley 5 2 7 Fw Eduardo Luna 13 1 14 Fw Julien De Boeck 13 1 14 Fw Šime Sucic 10 1 11 Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 10 1 11 Fw Raphaël Mayeux 10 1 11 Fw Matty Begum 9 1 10 Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan 8 1 9 Fw Claudio Prado 5 2 7 Fw Geovanny Arley 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 14 27 15 42 ROSTER TOTALS 13 13 28 19 53 0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 14 27 17 50 T O T A L S 14 13 28 19 53 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.35 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.65 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.06 (no red card) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.51 (no red card) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.55 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.57 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.09 (no second yellow) Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.91 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.64 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.18 (no second yellow) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.02 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.66 (no red card) Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.5 (no red card) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 61.77 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 53.6 (no red card) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.66 (no red card) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.49 (no red card) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.6 (no red card) Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.47 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.37 (no second yellow) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.21 (no red card) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.72 (no red card) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.16 (no red card) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.4 (no red card) Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.76 (no red card) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.39 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.79 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 44.12 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.63 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.47 (no injury) Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.82 (no injury) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 70.7 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.1 (no injury) Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.21 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.49 (no injury) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.83 (no injury) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.32 (no injury) Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.03 (no injury) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 15.99 (no injury) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.82 (no injury) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 31.84 (no injury) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no injury) Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.56 (no injury) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.52 (no injury) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.13 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Eduardo Luna is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.24 (no injury) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.4 (no injury) Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.46 (no injury) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.77 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Julien De Boeck SL 13 - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 13 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 14 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 15 14 27 17 50 Preston North End FC 14 13 28 19 53 Watford Fw Attacks = 22 (50 - 28); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 19) / 2; rounded up) Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 53) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 22 1: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 5.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 14 13 28 19 53 Watford 15 14 27 17 50 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 26 (53 - 27); result rounded up Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((19 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 50) / 3; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Mf Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 37.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 8.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 43.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 59.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 95.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 22.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 23.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 3 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 3