(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Valentin Lugn 11 0 11 Gk Mads Frost 14 1 15
Sw Walter Olivera 12 0 12 Df Keita Hattori 13 1 14
Df Ibrahim Aggrey 14 1 15 Df Shoichi Morita 12 1 13
Df Joan Hierro 10 1 11 Sw Oskar Qvist 7 1 8
Df Anders Jacobsen 6 2 8 Df José Mendes 6 2 8
Mf Arthur Goodwin 16 1 17 Df Blaise Amiel 2 2 4
Mf Carlos Nuñez 6 2 8 Mf Aidan Maddison 12 0 12
Fw Geovanny Arley 13 1 14 Mf Octavio Barbosa 6 2 8
Fw Gustavo da Rocha 10 1 11 Mf Jorim Geiger 2 2 4
Fw Felix Jimenez 6 2 8 Fw Yassine Aloui 6 2 8
Fw Fabrice Thabet 6 2 8 Fw Trefor Lloyd 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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11 12 34 25 41 ROSTER TOTALS 15 8 39 24 16
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
12 12 34 25 50 T O T A L S 15 8 46 24 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.17 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 93.71 (no red card)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.81 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Walter Olivera new match skill level = 6
Walter Olivera new match total level = 6
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.22 (no red card)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.67 (no red card)
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.98 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.74 (no red card)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.18 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.31 (no red card)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.9 (no red card)
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.26 (no red card)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.76 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.39 (no second yellow)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.42 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.96 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.74 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.11 (no second yellow)
Sw Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.81 (no red card)
Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.55 (no red card)
Df Blaise Amiel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.59 (no red card)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.41 (no red card)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.36 (no red card)
Mf Jorim Geiger: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.74 (no red card)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.29 (no red card)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
- Watford Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 4.86 (no injury)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.89 (no injury)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.68 (no injury)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.39 (no injury)
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.45 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.92 (no injury)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.69 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.38 (no injury)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.83 (no injury)
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.29 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 47.22 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.28 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.78 (no injury)
Sw Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.86 (no injury)
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.11 (no injury)
Df Blaise Amiel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.82 (no injury)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.23 (no injury)
Mf Jorim Geiger: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.58 (no injury)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.87 (no injury)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.29 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 16
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 14
intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Keita Hattori SL 13
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 12 6 34 25 50
Watford 15 8 46 24 16
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 4 (50 - 46); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 6 ((34 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Df Ibrahim Aggrey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Joan Hierro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Anders Jacobsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Joan Hierro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Ibrahim Aggrey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Df Joan Hierro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 42.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 15 8 46 24 16
Preston North End FC 12 6 34 25 50
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 34)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 50) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
Watford travelling to Deepdale. Historically productive for the home side, statistically speaking. Should be straightforward enough.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/12 - 6:30 PM