(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD BRISTOL CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18 Gk Alberto Flores 15 1 16
Sw Saul Aquino 15 2 17 Sw Atsushi Oshima 9 2 11
Df Walter McGree 11 1 12 Df Eugene Goodwin 14 1 15
Df Waldemar Skoras 10 2 12 Df Cadwaladr Lewis 13 1 14
Mf Federico Machado 10 1 11 Df Mario Rojas 10 2 12
Mf Seth Sibley 8 2 10 Mf Efe Akpan 14 1 15
Fw Edgar Jimenez 16 2 18 Mf Isaac Semenyo 13 1 14
Fw Julien De Boeck 13 1 14 Fw Ulf Helander 15 0 15
Fw Valerio Paredes 12 -1 11 Fw Gavin Wright 15 1 16
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 10 2 12 Fw Dafydd Chapman 13 1 14
Fw Matty Begum 9 2 11 Fw Armand Songo'o 14 2 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 17 24 21 66 ROSTER TOTALS 16 11 41 29 61
0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 8 1 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 17 33 22 66 T O T A L S 16 11 41 29 61
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.49 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.85 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.08 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.24 (no red card)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.85 (no red card)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.19 (no red card)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.33 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.73 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.83 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.14 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.4 (no second yellow)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.7 (no red card)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.61 (no red card)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.49 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.03 (no red card)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.27 (no red card)
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.78 (no red card)
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.87 (no red card)
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.48 (no red card)
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.16 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.6 (no red card)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.9 (no red card)
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.82 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.15 (no second yellow)
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.78 (no red card)
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 23.48 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.31 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.04 (no injury)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.71 (no injury)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.52 (no injury)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.92 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.86 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.12 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.3 (no injury)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.1 (no injury)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.19 (no injury)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 59.26 (no injury)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.96 (no injury)
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.98 (no injury)
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.48 (no injury)
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.25 (no injury)
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.26 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.55 (no injury)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.61 (no injury)
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.26 (no injury)
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.42 (no injury)
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.16 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Edgar Jimenez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15
intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ulf Helander SL 15
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 93 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 18 17 33 22 66
Bristol City FC 16 11 41 29 61
Watford Fw Attacks = 25 (66 - 41); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 42.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 26.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 21.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 52.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 16 11 41 29 61
Watford 18 17 33 22 66
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 28 (61 - 33); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((29 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 32
1: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 41.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 0 - BRISTOL CITY FC 2
Match Notes
Tricky away match.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/22 - 4:18 PM