(H)
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
Southend United
Colin Scott
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWANSEA CITY AFC SOUTHEND UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jonas Suffo 12 2 14 Gk Alonso Lopez 16 2 18 Sw Aurélien Rami 5 2 7 Sw Glen Clarke 16 2 18 Df Enrique Masis 15 -2 13 Df Vincent Hamidou 14 2 16 Df Gharib Alami 13 1 14 Df Alex Salisu 11 2 13 Df Tony Ford 8 0 8 Df Mauricio López 8 2 10 Df Lucas Stuhr 8 2 10 Mf Randall Navarrete 15 2 17 Df Miguel de la Cruz 8 2 10 Mf Troy Juric 8 2 10 Mf Khalid Idrissi 12 2 14 Fw Cássio Lemos 15 2 17 Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene 12 1 13 Fw Rónald Aguilera 12 2 14 Fw Gerry Maclaren 15 0 15 Fw Kenzie McDonald 12 2 14 Fw Michaël Van der heijden16 2 18 Fw Jamie Behich 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 7 55 27 33 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 39 27 55 0 1 1 2 1 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 8 59 31 36 T O T A L S 19 18 39 27 55 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 5 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.33 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.77 (no red card) Sw Aurélien Rami: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 38.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 22.08 (no red card) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 91.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 9.99 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 93.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 52.47 (no red card) Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 65.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 8.82 (no red card) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 97.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 30.17 (no red card) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 17.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 3.63 (no red card) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 44.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 7.72 (no red card) Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 84.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 28.11 (no red card) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 53.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 70.33 (no red card) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 69.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 7.16 (no red card) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.91 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 10.48 (no red card) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.01 (no red card) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.08 (no red card) Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.32 (no red card) Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.11 (no red card) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.94 (no red card) Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.19 (no red card) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.7 (no red card) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.73 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.22 (no red card) Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.81 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 5 - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5% - Gk chance of injury = 2.25% Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 60.81 (no injury) Sw Aurélien Rami: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 78.47 (no injury) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 95.39 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 7.69 (no injury) Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 55.91 (no injury) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 85.21 (no injury) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 27.74 (no injury) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 57.45 (no injury) Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 27.5 (no injury) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 98.5 (no injury) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 75.52 (no injury) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 5 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5% - Gk chance of injury = 3.25% Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.79 (no injury) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 4.97 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Glen Clarke is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Glen Clarke new match skill level = 8 Glen Clarke new match total level = 10 Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 12.08 (no injury) Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 78.33 (no injury) Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 3.01 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Mauricio López is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Mauricio López new match skill level = 4 Mauricio López new match total level = 6 Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 1.95 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Randall Navarrete is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Randall Navarrete new match skill level = 8 Randall Navarrete new match total level = 10 Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 28.97 (no injury) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 80.89 (no injury) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 67.91 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury) Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 58.04 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16 - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 15 - Defending Gk: Jonas Suffo SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 14 8 59 31 36 Southend United 19 10 35 20 55 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 1 (36 - 35); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((31 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((59 - 55) / 3); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Df Miguel de la Cruz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Enrique Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 70.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 19 10 35 20 55 Swansea City AFC 14 8 59 31 36 Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (55 - 59) Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 31) / 2; rounded up) Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 36) / 3; rounded up) Southend United Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWANSEA CITY AFC 0 - SOUTHEND UNITED 0