(H)
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRISTOL CITY FC PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Alberto Flores 16 2 18 Gk Finlay Palmer 16 2 18 Sw Reece Gregory 16 2 18 Df Bassirou Mbaye 13 2 15 Df Cadwaladr Lewis 14 2 16 Df Alan Matuidi 11 2 13 Df Eugene Goodwin 9 2 11 Df John MacDonald 9 2 11 Mf Isaac Semenyo 14 2 16 Mf Jorge Perez 14 2 16 Mf Efe Akpan 9 2 11 Mf Tatsuo Itakura 13 0 13 Fw Dafydd Chapman 13 2 15 Mf Khaled Balhadj 12 0 12 Fw Mbark Sabiri 13 2 15 Mf Daniel Kelly 10 2 12 Fw Armand Songo'o 13 2 15 Mf Oscar Bremer 9 2 11 Fw John Jackson 14 2 16 Fw Nenad Kovtun 13 0 13 Fw Ulf Helander 8 2 10 Fw Luis Calvo 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 27 27 71 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 39 64 24 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 18 27 27 80 T O T A L S 18 0 39 64 24 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 84.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 62.15 (no red card) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.46 (no red card) Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.18 (no red card) Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.24 (no red card) Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.18 (no red card) Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.88 (no red card) Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.22 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.63 (no second yellow) Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.51 (no red card) Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.15 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.96 (no second yellow) Fw John Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.42 (no red card) Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.92 (no red card) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.77 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.24 (no red card) Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.5 (no red card) Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card) Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.68 (no red card) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.52 (no red card) Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.91 (no red card) Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.3 (no red card) Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.42 (no red card) Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.15 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.0 (no second yellow) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.96 (no red card) Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.2 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 84.55 (no injury) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.18 (no injury) Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury) Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.52 (no injury) Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.57 (no injury) Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.01 (no injury) Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.37 (no injury) Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.19 (no injury) Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.74 (no injury) Fw John Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.88 (no injury) Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.52 (no injury) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.93 (no injury) Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.62 (no injury) Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.28 (no injury) Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.46 (no injury) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.92 (no injury) Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.67 (no injury) Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.82 (no injury) Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.97 (no injury) Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.32 (no injury) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.6 (no injury) Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.25 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Cadwaladr Lewis SL 14 - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16 intRndPk = 5 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 60 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jorge Perez SL 14 - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bristol City FC 19 18 27 27 80 Plymouth Argyle FC 18 0 39 64 24 Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap! Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 21 (80 - 39) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 64) / 2; rounded up) Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 24) / 3); result rounded up Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 22 1: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 72.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 95.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 21: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 18 0 39 64 24 Bristol City FC 19 18 27 27 80 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 27) Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 19 ((64 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 80) / 5; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 19 1: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 86.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 98.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 38.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 64.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 52.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 70.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 80.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRISTOL CITY FC 3 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2
Match Notes
Rob pressed to get lines in...the is bowling on tv.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/04 - 1:56 PM
Bristol look unbeatable these days. We stand no chance.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/06 - 1:15 AM
What an unjust PK! How this league gets away without mandatory VAR is beyond me! I demand an inquest!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/06 - 7:38 PM
Unlucky Rob
Roger (Bristol City FC) 07/07 - 3:32 PM