MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Wednesday, July 30th, 2025 - 11:45:04 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 50 // Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats TablesTeams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Vukovic           15    2   17     Gk Eugene Vasilev          8    2   10
Sw Bryn Gough             13    2   15     Sw Atsushi Oshima         15    2   17
Df Gustavo García         13    1   14     Df Martin Rodríguez       13    2   15
Df Mohamadou Sy           13    2   15     Df Willy Cerfbeer         12    2   14
Df Shiro Minamino          4    2    6     Df Cadwaladr Lewis        10    2   12
Mf Oscar Bremer           13    1   14     Df Yahya Cheddira          8    2   10
Mf Luca da Silva           8    2   10     Mf Efe Akpan              13    2   15
Fw Farzan Vestergaard     15    2   17     Mf Rafal Karas            10    2   12
Fw Evaristo Masis         14    1   15     Mf Valentin Gavranovic     4    2    6
Fw Si-Won Min-woo         13    1   14     Fw Ulf Helander           13    2   15
Fw Danylo Morozov          9    2   11     Fw José Oliveira           8    1    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 35 24 57        ROSTER TOTALS      10 17 51 33 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 35 24 66         T O T A L S       10 17 51 40 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.08 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.22 (no red card)

Df Gustavo García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.28 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.88 (no red card)

Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.09 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.95 (no red card)

Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.82 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.37 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.88 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.24 (no red card)

Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.57 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.26 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.78 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.76 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.27 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.27 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.16 (no second yellow)

Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.3 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.13 (no red card)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.81 (no red card)

Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.81 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.81 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.68 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.75 (no injury) 
Df Gustavo García: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.67 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.07 (no injury) 
Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.02 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.15 (no injury) 
Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.92 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.39 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.98 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.02 (no injury) 
Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.89 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 7.35 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.38 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.12 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.02 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.8 (no injury) 
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.01 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.84 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.98 (no injury) 
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.66 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.75 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ulf Helander is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Farzan Vestergaard SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 8

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Rodríguez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 15

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  15  35  24  66
  Bristol City FC          10  17  51  40  24

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 15 (66 - 51); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 4 ((35 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Gustavo García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 13.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Gustavo García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Gustavo García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 81.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 76.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 37.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 91.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 97.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          10  17  51  40  24
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  15  35  24  66

Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 35)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((40 - 24) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 24.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 4  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Up against my good friend Jason for the first of a back-to-back. Hopefully he does well enough to lose by 1 in both matches.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/11 - 4:59 PM
Our second session this season with two matches against Plymouth. Still looking for our first win, though.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/12 - 1:59 AM
Ouch
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/12 - 6:10 PM
This was a great bounce back after getting trounced against Tranmere.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/18 - 8:16 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions