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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            WYCOMBE WANDERERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gregory Reyna          15    2   17     Gk Brynmor Harding        13    0   13
Sw Ramires Jesus          13    0   13     Sw Lucas Defossé          14    0   14
Df Eirwyn Davey           15    2   17     Df Kaies Mhedhebi         16    0   16
Df Jacob Beynon           13    2   15     Df Antonio Moreno          9    2   11
Df Marco Sa                8   -1    7     Mf Alfonso Rodríguez      11    1   12
Mf Aliyu Edet             14    2   16     Mf Ahmed Usman            11    1   12
Mf Marco D'amato           8    2   10     Mf Joshua Brandt           9    0    9
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek     15    1   16     Fw Herman Fazio           15    0   15
Fw Javier Gimenez         14    2   16     Fw Aaron Castro           15    0   15
Fw Ki Seon-min            12    2   14     Fw Mathieu Song           13    1   14
Fw Jordan Pérez            8    2   10     Fw Theo Étienne            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 13 39 26 56        ROSTER TOTALS      13 14 27 33 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  2  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 39 30 61         T O T A L S       13 14 27 33 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.35 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.17 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.29 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.33 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.54 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.87 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.2 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.67 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.18 (no second yellow)

Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.38 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.0 (no red card)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Brynmor Harding: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.43 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Defossé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.17 (no red card)

Df Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.47 (no red card)

Df Antonio Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.06 (no second yellow)

Mf Alfonso Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.29 (no red card)

Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.42 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Brandt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.87 (no red card)

Fw Herman Fazio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.2 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.6 (no red card)

Fw Mathieu Song: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.06 (no red card)

Fw Theo Étienne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.96 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.2 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.41 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.06 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.14 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.9 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Aliyu Edet is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Aliyu Edet new match skill level =  7
      Aliyu Edet new match total level =  9
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.59 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.84 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.33 (no injury) 
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.49 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.69 (no injury) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Brynmor Harding: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.31 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Defossé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.35 (no injury) 
Df Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.36 (no injury) 
Df Antonio Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.36 (no injury) 
Mf Alfonso Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.58 (no injury) 
Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.85 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Brandt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.72 (no injury) 
Fw Herman Fazio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.86 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Castro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.08 (no injury) 
Fw Mathieu Song: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.82 (no injury) 
Fw Theo Étienne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.25 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Brynmor Harding SL 13

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 27 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kaies Mhedhebi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  15  39  23  61
  Wycombe Wanderers        13  14  27  33  54

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 34 (61 - 27); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 63.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 91.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 73.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
32: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        13  14  27  33  54
  Carlisle United          17  15  39  23  61

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 15 (54 - 39); result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Joshua Brandt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Alfonso Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Joshua Brandt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Theo Étienne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Mathieu Song
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Theo Étienne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Mathieu Song
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 3  -  WYCOMBE WANDERERS 0
 
Match Notes
Big Rematch!
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 07/07 - 6:19 PM
UGH
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 07/15 - 6:58 PM
We let this one get a way from us
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 07/15 - 6:58 PM
 
 
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