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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Muhammed Asamoah       14    0   14     Gk Bo Norlén              12    0   12
Sw Artur Boniek            8   -1    7     Df Secundino López        13    0   13
Df Mikkel Iversen         13    1   14     Df Yahaya Etim            12    0   12
Df Johnny Müller          12    2   14     Df Hajime Tanaka           9    2   11
Fw Henry Rowles           11    2   13     Df Quentin Mertens         4    2    6
Mf Cédric Kenne           11    2   13     Mf Gustavo Moreno          8    2   10
Mf Krystian Sobolewski    10    2   12     Mf Virgil Hoekstra         6    2    8
Fw Erik Christiansen      13    0   13     Mf Toby Llewellyn          4    2    6
Fw Sadou Moussa           11    2   13     Fw Yuto Kawashima         12    1   13
Fw Yahia El mostafa       14    0   14     Fw Conway Roberts          9    2   11
Fw Eligio Palacios        10    2   12     Fw António Guerreiro       6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  7 28 25 65        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 42 24 32    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  7 28 25 75         T O T A L S       12  0 42 24 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.41 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.66 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.8 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.6 (no red card)

Fw Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.94 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.36 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.38 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.91 (no red card)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.61 (no red card)

Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.91 (no second yellow)

Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.25 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.99 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.97 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.72 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.99 (no red card)

Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.42 (no red card)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.27 (no red card)

Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.84 (no red card)

Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.44 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.45 (no red card)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.69 (no red card)

Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 1
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 42.18 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.05 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.64 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.47 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.47 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.44 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.14 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.34 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.15 (no injury) 
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.26 (no injury) 
Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.22 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 36.48 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.09 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.1 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.98 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.59 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.81 (no injury) 
Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.01 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.04 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.85 (no injury) 
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.26 (no injury) 
Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.97 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      António Guerreiro loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      António Guerreiro new match skill level =  3
      António Guerreiro new match total level =  5
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Yahia El mostafa SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 12

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Secundino López SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             14   7  28  25  75
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  42  24  29

Derby County Fw Attacks = 33 (75 - 42); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 84.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 13.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 30.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 29.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 61.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 14.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 72.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 4.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 1.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 84.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 13.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 92.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Eligio Palacios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  42  24  29
  Derby County             14   7  28  25  75

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 1 (29 - 28); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 75) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 2.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 5  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
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