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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bo Norlén               8    2   10     Gk Arwyn Collins          11    2   13
Df Martin Toivonen        14    0   14     Sw Esteban Martin         14    1   15
Df Enrique Gimenez        14    0   14     Df Benedicto Montiel      13    2   15
Df Secundino López         8    2   10     Df Jonathan Acosta        13    2   15
Mf Etienne Willems        15    0   15     Df Andre Ngwa              9    2   11
Mf Kaies Mhedhebi         11    2   13     Df Grégory Lloris          7    2    9
Mf Cameron Gates           8    2   10     Mf Bertus De leeuw        14    2   16
Mf Artem Fedorov           7    2    9     Mf Michael Wass            7    2    9
Fw Bartosz Frankowski     12    0   12     Fw Torben Thygesen        14    2   16
Fw Yuto Kawashima          8    2   10     Fw Boris Rudenko          14    2   16
Fw Alexander Ross          8    1    9     Fw Ayrton Bielsa          13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 38 47 31        ROSTER TOTALS      13 15 50 25 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 38 47 40         T O T A L S       16 16 57 25 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.12 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.6 (no red card)

Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.85 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.07 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.93 (no red card)

Mf Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.29 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.75 (no red card)

Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.24 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.0 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.01 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.34 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Arwyn Collins: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 74.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 32.65 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 98.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 2.63 (no red card)

Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 64.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 98.89 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 31.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.03 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 90.08 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 51.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 31.2 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 59.85 (no red card)

Mf Michael Wass: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 83.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 21.54 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 33.99 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 19.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 94.34 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 47.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.33 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 84.38 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 64.51 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 80.3 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 64.43 (no injury) 
Mf Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 73.29 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 93.68 (no injury) 
Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 32.39 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 17.17 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 57.59 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Ross: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 45.13 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Arwyn Collins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 15.66 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.86 (no injury) 
Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 7.5 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.41 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.08 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 67.94 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Wass: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.61 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.51 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Boris Rudenko is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Boris Rudenko new match skill level =  7
      Boris Rudenko new match total level =  9
Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Etienne Willems SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Arwyn Collins SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bertus De leeuw SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 8

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          10   0  38  47  40
  Dorchester Town          16  16  57  25  39

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 57)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((47 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 39) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Artem Fedorov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Artem Fedorov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Kaies Mhedhebi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Kaies Mhedhebi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          16  16  57  25  39
  Swindon Town FC          10   0  38  47  40

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 1 (39 - 38) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 3 ((57 - 40) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Grégory Lloris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 72.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Jonathan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 73.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 0  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 2
 
Match Notes
Hopefully we can pick something up here, to keep our promotion hopes alive.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/02 - 9:41 PM
We got very very lucky.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/11 - 10:12 PM
 
 
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