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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          14    1   15     Gk Alonso Lopez           13    1   14
Sw Bryn Gough             10    0   10     Sw Glen Clarke            13    1   14
Df Nestor Omlin           11    0   11     Df Jordan Bukari           3    2    5
Df Leonardo Marino        10    1   11     Df Manuel Ortiz           12    1   13
Df Mohamadou Sy            6    2    8     Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13
Mf Khaled Balhadj         12    0   12     Df Alex Salisu            11    0   11
Mf Oscar Bremer            6    2    8     Mf Claes Östberg          11    0   11
Fw Syam Arfaoui           13    0   13     Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri      4    2    6
Fw Nenad Kovtun           13    0   13     Fw Massamba Diouf          9    1   10
Fw Charles Sweeney        16    0   16     Fw Jamie Behich            5    2    7
Fw Si-Won Min-woo         11    1   12     Fw Pedro Viera             2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 10 30 20 54        ROSTER TOTALS      14 14 42 17 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 10 30 21 62         T O T A L S       17 17 46 17 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.14 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.22 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.03 (no red card)

Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.22 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.34 (no red card)

Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.12 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.34 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.88 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.46 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.9 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 77.34 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.24 (no red card)

Df Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.1 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.17 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.94 (no red card)

Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.23 (no red card)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.32 (no red card)

Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.77 (no red card)

Fw Massamba Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.6 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.11 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 70.94 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.26 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Bryn Gough is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.29 (no injury) 
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.78 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.28 (no injury) 
Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.75 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.63 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.25 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.91 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.25 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.53 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 48.88 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.8 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.65 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.14 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.24 (no injury) 
Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.34 (no injury) 
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.95 (no injury) 
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.49 (no injury) 
Fw Massamba Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.11 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.2 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charles Sweeney SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Manuel Ortiz SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 14

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       15  10  30  21  62
  Southend United          17  17  46  17  21

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 16 (62 - 46); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((21 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 3 ((30 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Leonardo Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Leonardo Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          17  17  46  17  21
  Plymouth Argyle FC       15  10  30  21  62

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 30)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
21 attacks and 0 goals. That's devastating.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/25 - 6:33 PM
 
 
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