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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Logan McKennie         11    1   12     Gk Amir Hamdi              9    2   11
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         12    2   14     Sw Blerim Omlin            8   -1    7
Df Josip Sommer           14    2   16     Df Papis Sall             11    2   13
Df Andre Ngwa             13    2   15     Df Sebastien Barbet        8   -2    6
Df Hugo Quintero          13    2   15     Df Ike Isah                4   -1    3
Df Tobias Kimmich         12    2   14     Mf Lyn Rogers              9    2   11
Mf Nazariy Gusak          14    2   16     Mf Arona Baldé             4    2    6
Mf Bastiaan de Jong       13    2   15     Fw Douglas Vargas         10    2   12
Fw Bertus De leeuw         8    2   10     Fw José Borges            10    2   12
Mf Harold Thorne           9    2   11     Fw Luiz Fabinho            9   -1    8
Fw Teun Van der berg      14    1   15     Fw Benvenuto Di martino    4    0    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 14 60 42 25        ROSTER TOTALS      11  7 22 17 36    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 14 60 44 32         T O T A L S       11  7 22 17 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 82.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 99.57 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.6 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.47 (no second yellow)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.09 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 24.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.23 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.74 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.38 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.66 (no red card)

Fw Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.43 (no red card)

Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.59 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.72 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Amir Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.18 (no red card)

Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.18 (no red card)

Df Papis Sall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.65 (no red card)

Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.69 (no red card)

Df Ike Isah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.75 (no red card)

Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.95 (no red card)

Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.45 (no red card)

Fw Douglas Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.83 (no red card)

Fw José Borges: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.77 (no red card)

Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.97 (no red card)

Fw Benvenuto Di martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 34.17 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.12 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.37 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.89 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.54 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 89.44 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.16 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.13 (no injury) 
Fw Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.08 (no injury) 
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.53 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.51 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Amir Hamdi: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 46.08 (no injury) 
Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.82 (no injury) 
Df Papis Sall: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.61 (no injury) 
Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.36 (no injury) 
Df Ike Isah: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.4 (no injury) 
Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.75 (no injury) 
Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.97 (no injury) 
Fw Douglas Vargas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.31 (no injury) 
Fw José Borges: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.24 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.91 (no injury) 
Fw Benvenuto Di martino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.78 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Josip Sommer SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Amir Hamdi SL 9

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Papis Sall SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          14  14  60  44  32
  Dagenham & Redbridge     11   7  22  17  36

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 10 (32 - 22); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 14 ((44 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 8 ((60 - 36) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 55.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 40.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 64.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 68.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 58.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 22.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 72.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 37.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 9.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 27.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 12.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 95.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
32: Attack for Fw Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 46.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     11   7  22  17  36
  Dorchester Town          14  14  60  44  32

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 60)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 4  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0
 
Match Notes
I guess we are looking a draw in this game
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/06 - 1:02 PM
Both teams struggling on eleven points. A big game.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/10 - 8:50 PM
A big win for us to keep us out of the bottom three.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/17 - 10:30 AM
 
 
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