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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     LEEDS UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             16    2   18     Gk Tadhg Boyle            15    1   16
Sw Théo Billard           16    2   18     Df Enoch Yahaya            7    1    8
Df Eric Aidoo             12    2   14     Df Yozhef Shapoval        13    2   15
Df Óscar Cespedes         12    2   14     Df Servando Verón         12    2   14
Df Michael Addo           12    2   14     Df Frederik Hansen         8    2   10
Mf Raouf Salem            13    2   15     Mf Etienne Waseige        11    2   13
Mf Rigobert Mahamat       12    2   14     Mf Hayden Redmayne        10    2   12
Mf William Gomez          12    2   14     Mf Leif Abrahamsen         8    2   10
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf          12    2   14     Mf Jens Larsen            14    0   14
Fw Elliot Wilkins         19    2   21     Fw Hwangbo Min-sung        8    2   10
Fw Hideaki Endo           12    2   14     Fw Kevin De Smet           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 42 57 35        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 47 49 20    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 42 57 45         T O T A L S       16  0 47 49 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.51 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.54 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.55 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.61 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.76 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.68 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.66 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.01 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.18 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.46 (no second yellow)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.86 (no red card)

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.22 (no red card)

Df Enoch Yahaya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.06 (no red card)

Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.83 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.46 (no red card)

Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.78 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.91 (no red card)

Mf Hayden Redmayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.66 (no red card)

Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.11 (no red card)

Mf Jens Larsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.68 (no red card)

Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.49 (no red card)

Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 41.51 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.0 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.65 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.32 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.47 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.09 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.26 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.9 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.05 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.43 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.9 (no injury) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 34.08 (no injury) 
Df Enoch Yahaya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.6 (no injury) 
Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.6 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.88 (no injury) 
Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.22 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.69 (no injury) 
Mf Hayden Redmayne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.26 (no injury) 
Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.88 (no injury) 
Mf Jens Larsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Jens Larsen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jens Larsen new match skill level =  7
      Jens Larsen new match total level =  7
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.42 (no injury) 
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Tadhg Boyle SL 15

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 89 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Yozhef Shapoval SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  18  42  57  45
  Leeds United             16   0  47  42  20

Leeds United is using Offside Trap!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 47)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 15 ((57 - 42) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 8 ((42 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 39.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Michael Addo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 80.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 4.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Eric Aidoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Eric Aidoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 65.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Michael Addo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 29.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 18.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 28.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 51.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 18.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 62.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 63.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 7.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             16   0  47  42  20
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  18  42  57  45

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 42)
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 57) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 1 ((47 - 45) / 5); result rounded up
Leeds United Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Yozhef Shapoval
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  LEEDS UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Brighton is cooking a great welcome for Leeds in this match. We are expecting a tough encounter in this one!!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/03 - 3:19 PM
Boyle had the game of a career. I want to say it stinks he lost, but why would I say that…?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/06 - 6:28 PM
Brighton deserved to win. Well done Brian.
Abe (Leeds United) 07/06 - 7:09 PM
 
 
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