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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Logan McKennie         13    2   15     Gk Xavier Lambert         14    2   16
Sw Esteban Martin         13    2   15     Sw Ramires Jesus          14    2   16
Df Andre Ngwa             13    2   15     Df Jacob Beynon           13    2   15
Df Vieira Mendes          13    2   15     Df Toshihiro Nakamura     13    1   14
Df Jonathan Acosta        12    2   14     Df Eirwyn Davey            8    2   10
Df Grégory Lloris         11    2   13     Mf Marcus Teulet          13    2   15
Mf Bastiaan de Jong       12    2   14     Mf Jacek Frankowski       13    2   15
Mf Ivan Vida              11    2   13     Fw Javier Gimenez         13    1   14
Fw Aaron Jones            14    2   16     Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      15    2   17
Fw Torben Thygesen        13    2   15     Fw Salem Bejaoui          10    1   11
Fw Teun Van der berg       9    2   11     Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek      8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 57 27 42        ROSTER TOTALS      16 16 39 30 52    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 57 32 46         T O T A L S       16 16 39 30 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 99.41 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.48 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.37 (no red card)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.37 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.73 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.19 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.91 (no second yellow)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.43 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.62 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.59 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.16 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.56 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.98 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.59 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.51 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.24 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.65 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.52 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.59 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.73 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.4 (no red card)

Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.86 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 64.83 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.92 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.75 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.83 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 80.3 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.34 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.77 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.47 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.6 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.04 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.17 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 98.9 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.48 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.08 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.63 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.62 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.39 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.26 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 95.27 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.49 (no injury) 
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.66 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.93 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 14

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Takeshi Fukunishi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          17  15  57  32  46
  Carlisle United          16  16  39  30  52

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 7 (46 - 39); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 2 ((57 - 52) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Grégory Lloris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 89.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 83.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          16  16  39  30  52
  Dorchester Town          17  15  57  32  46

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (52 - 57)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 2  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Both sides should see this as a must win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/16 - 9:05 AM
Yes Carl you’re right. With games running out we need a victory.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/18 - 10:55 PM
Business end of the season...a real six pointer...boys need to stand up and be men...blah, blah....
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/22 - 8:10 AM
Would have been nice if our GK could have been bothered to make a save, would have been nice if we could have troubled the Dorchester GK.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/23 - 2:24 AM
A good start to the weekend with a solid two nil victory.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/27 - 3:14 PM
 
 
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