(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD LINCOLN CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18 Gk Mousa Boffin 15 1 16 Sw Saul Aquino 15 -1 14 Sw Bryan Wilkins 7 2 9 Df Felipe Pérez 13 2 15 Df Mohammed Fosu 11 2 13 Df Walter McGree 8 2 10 Df Oscar Cuadrado 11 2 13 Mf Hirving Borgetti 12 1 13 Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan 8 2 10 Mf Federico Machado 8 2 10 Df Percy Triggs 8 1 9 Fw Julien De Boeck 16 2 18 Mf Seo Tae-uk 10 2 12 Fw Edgar Jimenez 13 2 15 Mf Babou Kebe 8 2 10 Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 9 2 11 Mf Akira Nagatomo 4 2 6 Fw Valerio Paredes 9 2 11 Fw Owen Jones 8 2 10 Fw Claudio Prado 4 2 6 Fw Benedicto Ortega 4 2 6 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 14 25 23 61 ROSTER TOTALS 16 9 45 28 16 0 0 0 1 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 21 14 25 24 70 T O T A L S 16 12 49 28 16 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.28 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.64 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.25 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.74 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.82 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.44 (no red card) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.87 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.8 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.97 (no red card) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.21 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.39 (no red card) Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.45 (no red card) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.82 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.08 (no red card) Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.03 (no red card) Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.58 (no red card) Df Oscar Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.41 (no red card) Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.82 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.72 (no second yellow) Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.76 (no red card) Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.81 (no red card) Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.71 (no red card) Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.94 (no red card) Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.19 (no red card) Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.42 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 79.18 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.62 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.06 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.49 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.88 (no injury) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.32 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.76 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.13 (no injury) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.62 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.25 (no injury) Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.81 (no injury) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 59.07 (no injury) Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.82 (no injury) Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.26 (no injury) Df Oscar Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.29 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Oscar Cuadrado is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.71 (no injury) Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.56 (no injury) Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.72 (no injury) Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.92 (no injury) Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.75 (no injury) Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.68 (no injury) Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.0 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Julien De Boeck SL 16 - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 15 intRndPk = 2 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 59 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mohammed Fosu SL 11 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 21 14 25 24 70 Lincoln City FC 16 12 49 28 16 Watford Fw Attacks = 21 (70 - 49); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2; rounded up) Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((25 - 16) / 3); result rounded up Watford Total Attacks = 24 1: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 81.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 99.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 77.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lincoln City FC 16 12 49 28 16 Watford 21 14 25 24 70 Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw! Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 25) Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 24) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 70) / 3; rounded up) Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 44.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 4 - LINCOLN CITY FC 0