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Watford
James Tucker
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo     16    2   18     Gk Mousa Boffin           15    1   16
Sw Saul Aquino            15   -1   14     Sw Bryan Wilkins           7    2    9
Df Felipe Pérez           13    2   15     Df Mohammed Fosu          11    2   13
Df Walter McGree           8    2   10     Df Oscar Cuadrado         11    2   13
Mf Hirving Borgetti       12    1   13     Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan        8    2   10
Mf Federico Machado        8    2   10     Df Percy Triggs            8    1    9
Fw Julien De Boeck        16    2   18     Mf Seo Tae-uk             10    2   12
Fw Edgar Jimenez          13    2   15     Mf Babou Kebe              8    2   10
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal         9    2   11     Mf Akira Nagatomo          4    2    6
Fw Valerio Paredes         9    2   11     Fw Owen Jones              8    2   10
Fw Claudio Prado           4    2    6     Fw Benedicto Ortega        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 25 23 61        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 45 28 16    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 14 25 24 70         T O T A L S       16 12 49 28 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.64 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.25 (no red card)

Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.74 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.82 (no red card)

Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.44 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.87 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.8 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.97 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.21 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.39 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.45 (no red card)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.08 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.03 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.58 (no red card)

Df Oscar Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.41 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.72 (no second yellow)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.76 (no red card)

Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.81 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.71 (no red card)

Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.94 (no red card)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.19 (no red card)

Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.42 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 79.18 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.62 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.06 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.49 (no injury) 
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.88 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.32 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.76 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.13 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.62 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.25 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.81 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 59.07 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.82 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.26 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Oscar Cuadrado is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.71 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.56 (no injury) 
Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.72 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.92 (no injury) 
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.75 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.68 (no injury) 
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Julien De Boeck SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 15

     intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 59 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mohammed Fosu SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  21  14  25  24  70
  Lincoln City FC          16  12  49  28  16

Watford Fw Attacks = 21 (70 - 49); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((25 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 81.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 99.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 77.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          16  12  49  28  16
  Watford                  21  14  25  24  70

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 25)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 24) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 44.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 4  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
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