(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD SWANSEA CITY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Mads Frost 15 2 17 Gk Pathé Ndong 14 2 16
Sw Nico Lehmann 8 2 10 Df Jordan Cummings 13 2 15
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 16 1 17 Df Munir Hamdallah 12 2 14
Df Shoichi Morita 12 2 14 Df Bonturo Ferrari 11 2 13
Df Oskar Qvist 8 2 10 Df Min-Seong Jung 8 2 10
Mf Kevin Castex 16 2 18 Mf Kwasi Twumasi 14 2 16
Mf Oliwer Säfström 8 2 10 Mf Matthew Zalewski 7 -1 6
Fw Valerio Paredes 16 0 16 Fw Dario Vasilj 15 2 17
Fw Djonno De boer 14 1 15 Fw Yeltsin Venegas 14 2 16
Fw Takao Soma 13 1 14 Fw Renato Cabanas 16 2 18
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 8 2 10 Fw Fernando Guimarães 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 10 41 28 55 ROSTER TOTALS 16 0 52 22 61
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 10 41 28 65 T O T A L S 16 0 52 22 61
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.57 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.75 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.34 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.71 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.22 (no red card)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.54 (no red card)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.3 (no red card)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.18 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.37 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.35 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.58 (no red card)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.05 (no red card)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.61 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.4 (no red card)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.67 (no red card)
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.47 (no red card)
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.31 (no red card)
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.07 (no red card)
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.34 (no red card)
Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.58 (no red card)
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.19 (no red card)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.78 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.89 (no second yellow)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.72 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.88 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 85.1 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.62 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.51 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.27 (no injury)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.96 (no injury)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.57 (no injury)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.33 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.53 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.99 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.78 (no injury)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.12 (no injury)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.27 (no injury)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.19 (no injury)
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.23 (no injury)
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.11 (no injury)
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.08 (no injury)
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.21 (no injury)
Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.84 (no injury)
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.33 (no injury)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.32 (no injury)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.65 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.64 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 16
- Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 14
intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Renato Cabanas SL 16
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 10 41 28 65
Swansea City AFC 16 0 52 22 61
Watford Fw Attacks = 13 (65 - 52); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 3 ((28 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Oliwer Säfström
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 23.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 28.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 94.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swansea City AFC 16 0 52 22 61
Watford 17 10 41 28 65
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 20 (61 - 41); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 65) / 5; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 94.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 3 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 2
Match Notes
Love the randomness of the RNG.
10 of the 16 Hornets shots were off target
But they converted 3 out of 6
All over 90%
10 of the 16 Hornets shots were off target
But they converted 3 out of 6
All over 90%
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 03/01 - 9:17 AM