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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Yassine Amara          15    2   17     Gk Samir Bouaziz          15   -2   13
Sw Gilbert Tchato          9    2   11     Sw Bradley Perry          13    2   15
Df Vincent Hamidou        15    2   17     Df Jaap De wit            13    2   15
Df Alain Teulet           11    2   13     Df Eric Aidoo             11    2   13
Df Johan Teulet            9    2   11     Df Jason McDiarmid         8    2   10
Mf Ludwig Troell          13    2   15     Mf Yuriy Taran            12    2   14
Mf Johan Havet            10    2   12     Mf Minki Sung-yeung        8    2   10
Fw Cássio Lemos           20    2   22     Mf Abdoul N'Diaye          4    2    6
Fw Percy Maguire          14    2   16     Fw Elias Mayer             8    2   10
Fw Jamie Behich           13    2   15     Fw Albert Blanco           4    2    6
Fw Pedro Viera            12    2   14     Fw Ji-Hun Min              4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 41 27 67        ROSTER TOTALS      13 15 38 30 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 11 41 27 76         T O T A L S       13 17 38 30 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.83 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.19 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.88 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.2 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.24 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.59 (no red card)

Mf Johan Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.02 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.55 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.35 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.28 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.77 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.76 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.21 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.07 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.47 (no second yellow)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.57 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.29 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.14 (no red card)

Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.6 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.63 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Elias Mayer new match skill level =  4
      Elias Mayer new match total level =  6

Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.56 (no red card)

Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 67.37 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.04 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.9 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.44 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.56 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.39 (no injury) 
Mf Johan Havet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.05 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.04 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.69 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.5 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.71 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 90.4 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.69 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.57 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.63 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.61 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.99 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.85 (no injury) 
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.51 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.59 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Elias Mayer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Elias Mayer new match skill level =  2
      Elias Mayer new match total level =  4
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.63 (no injury) 
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.72 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jaap De wit SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 15

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          17  11  41  27  76
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13  17  38  30  16

Southend United Fw Attacks = 38 (76 - 38); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 9 ((41 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 47

1: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Alain Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Alain Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Alain Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Johan Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Alain Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Johan Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Alain Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Johan Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
34: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 17.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
38: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 6.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
40: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
41: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
42: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
43: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
44: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
45: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
46: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
47: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13  17  38  30  16
  Southend United          17  11  41  27  76

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 41)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 76) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 2  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
Match Notes
We stink this season, so this one is all yours, Colin.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/11 - 4:19 PM
Very kind. Thank you
Colin (Southend United) 07/12 - 6:39 PM
 
 
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