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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jordan Rose            14    2   16     Gk Jonas Suffo            12    2   14
Sw Ricardo Xavier         15    2   17     Sw Aurélien Rami           5    2    7
Df Dragan Jedjav          14    1   15     Df Enrique Masis          15   -2   13
Df Martyn Owen            13    2   15     Df Gharib Alami           13    1   14
Df Rasmus Antonsen         9    2   11     Df Tony Ford               8    0    8
Df Maciek Szymanski        4    2    6     Df Lucas Stuhr             8    2   10
Mf Cédric Kamga           13    2   15     Df Miguel de la Cruz       8    2   10
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez        8    2   10     Mf Khalid Idrissi         12    2   14
Fw Lilian Cazenave        14    2   16     Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene     12    1   13
Fw Michael Lagerbäck      13    2   15     Fw Gerry Maclaren         15    0   15
Fw Armin Seuffert          8    2   10     Fw Michaël Van der heijden16    2   18

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 17 47 25 41        ROSTER TOTALS      14  7 55 27 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  1  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 17 47 25 50         T O T A L S       15  7 56 28 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.29 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.26 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.65 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.09 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.5 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.33 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.11 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.66 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.88 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.24 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.46 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 15.63 (no red card)

Sw Aurélien Rami: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 32.59 (no second yellow)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.31 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 79.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 79.73 (no red card)

Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.67 (no red card)

Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 21.49 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.44 (no red card)

Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 78.6 (no red card)

Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.11 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 69.18 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 53.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 72.67 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 28.49 (no injury) 
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 53.81 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.44 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 60.61 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 71.1 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 31.73 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.89 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.85 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 43.44 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 28.63 (no injury) 
Sw Aurélien Rami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.07 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.7 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.92 (no injury) 
Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.73 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.7 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.78 (no injury) 
Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.54 (no injury) 
Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.2 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.63 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Suffo SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 50 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 79 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 14

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             18  17  47  25  50
  Swansea City AFC         15   7  56  28  33

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 56)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 5 ((47 - 33) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         15   7  56  28  33
  Brentford FC             18  17  47  25  50

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 47)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((56 - 50) / 3); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Miguel de la Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Lucas Stuhr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 2  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
I think Roy can justly feel hard done by here
Roger (Bristol City FC) 07/07 - 3:30 PM
 
 
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