(H)

Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie

Watford
James Tucker
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S TRANMERE ROVERS WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Mohammed Zakari 16 2 18 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18 Sw Santiago Ramos 16 2 18 Df Felipe Pérez 15 2 17 Df Dong Min Young-pyo 11 2 13 Df Walter McGree 11 1 12 Df Martin Morales 9 2 11 Df Keita Hattori 8 1 9 Mf Cobi Keller 10 2 12 Df Victor Bach 8 2 10 Mf Hans Cornelius 9 2 11 Df Meliton Martinez 7 2 9 Fw Valentyn Shulga 14 2 16 Df Alain Fauché 7 2 9 Fw Robbie Murphy 13 2 15 Mf Breno Freda 11 0 11 Fw Granit Wicky 13 2 15 Mf Federico Machado 10 1 11 Fw Sebastian Zielinski 16 2 18 Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 10 2 12 Fw Chibuikem Thomas 9 2 11 Fw Matty Begum 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 24 23 75 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 66 22 23 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 6 1 0 ======================================================================= 21 18 27 26 78 T O T A L S 18 0 72 24 23 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.5 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 51.01 (no red card) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.76 (no red card) Df Dong Min Young-pyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.76 (no red card) Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.98 (no red card) Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card) Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card) Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.34 (no red card) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.25 (no red card) Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.15 (no red card) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.21 (no red card) Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.19 (no red card) ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.88 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.32 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.95 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.03 (no second yellow) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.06 (no red card) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.19 (no red card) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.96 (no red card) Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.73 (no red card) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.81 (no red card) Mf Breno Freda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.17 (no red card) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.11 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.73 (no second yellow) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.34 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.63 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 27.7 (no injury) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.01 (no injury) Df Dong Min Young-pyo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.67 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Dong Min Young-pyo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Dong Min Young-pyo new match skill level = 6 Dong Min Young-pyo new match total level = 8 Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.75 (no injury) Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.29 (no injury) Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.79 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Hans Cornelius is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 31.91 (no injury) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.15 (no injury) Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.38 (no injury) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.45 (no injury) Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.41 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 7.74 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.83 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.57 (no injury) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.9 (no injury) Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.37 (no injury) Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no injury) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.05 (no injury) Mf Breno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.86 (no injury) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.94 (no injury) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.02 (no injury) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 47.57 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Sebastian Zielinski SL 16 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick) ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Felipe Pérez SL 15 - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 68 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Tranmere Rovers 21 18 22 26 78 Watford 18 0 72 24 23 Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 6 (78 - 72); result rounded up Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 3; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 7 1: Attack for Mf Cobi Keller Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 18 0 72 24 23 Tranmere Rovers 21 18 22 26 78 Watford is Playing For A Draw! Watford Fw Attacks = 1 (23 - 22) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((72 - 78) / 5; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E TRANMERE ROVERS 1 - WATFORD 1