(H)
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 13
Create NMR Lineup S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRENTFORD FC SWANSEA CITY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jordan Rose 14 2 16 Gk Jonas Suffo 12 2 14 Sw Ricardo Xavier 15 2 17 Sw Aurélien Rami 5 2 7 Df Dragan Jedjav 14 1 15 Df Enrique Masis 15 -2 13 Df Martyn Owen 13 2 15 Df Gharib Alami 13 1 14 Df Rasmus Antonsen 9 2 11 Df Tony Ford 8 0 8 Df Maciek Szymanski 4 2 6 Df Lucas Stuhr 8 2 10 Mf Cédric Kamga 13 2 15 Df Miguel de la Cruz 8 2 10 Mf Alvaro Rodríguez 8 2 10 Mf Khalid Idrissi 12 2 14 Fw Lilian Cazenave 14 2 16 Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene 12 1 13 Fw Michael Lagerbäck 13 2 15 Fw Gerry Maclaren 15 0 15 Fw Armin Seuffert 8 2 10 Fw Michaël Van der heijden16 2 18 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 17 47 25 41 ROSTER TOTALS 14 7 55 27 33 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 17 47 25 50 T O T A L S 15 7 56 28 33 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.81 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.29 (no red card) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.26 (no red card) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.65 (no red card) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.09 (no red card) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.5 (no red card) Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.33 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.11 (no red card) Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.66 (no red card) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.88 (no red card) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.24 (no red card) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.46 (no red card) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 3 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.75 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 15.63 (no red card) Sw Aurélien Rami: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.52 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 32.59 (no second yellow) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.31 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 79.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 79.73 (no red card) Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.67 (no red card) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 21.49 (no red card) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.44 (no red card) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 78.6 (no red card) Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.11 (no red card) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 69.18 (no red card) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 53.21 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 3 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 72.67 (no injury) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 28.49 (no injury) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 53.81 (no injury) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.44 (no injury) Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 60.61 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 71.1 (no injury) Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 31.73 (no injury) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.89 (no injury) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.85 (no injury) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 43.44 (no injury) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 3 - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Jonas Suffo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 28.63 (no injury) Sw Aurélien Rami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.07 (no injury) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.7 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.92 (no injury) Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.73 (no injury) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.7 (no injury) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.78 (no injury) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.54 (no injury) Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.2 (no injury) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.63 (no injury) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.36 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 14 - Defending Gk: Jonas Suffo SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 50 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 79 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16 - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 14 intRndPk = 85 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brentford FC 18 17 47 25 50 Swansea City AFC 15 7 56 28 33 Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 56) Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2; rounded up) Brentford FC Df Attacks = 5 ((47 - 33) / 3); result rounded up Brentford FC Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Martyn Owen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 15 7 56 28 33 Brentford FC 18 17 47 25 50 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 47) Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((56 - 50) / 3); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 4 1: Attack for Df Miguel de la Cruz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Lucas Stuhr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRENTFORD FC 2 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
Match Notes
I think Roy can justly feel hard done by here
Roger (Bristol City FC) 07/07 - 3:30 PM