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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           16    2   18     Gk Toby Barmby            16    2   18
Sw Glen Clarke            16    2   18     Df Kurt Mörner            13    2   15
Df Vincent Hamidou        14    2   16     Df Hakim Aguerd           13    2   15
Df Manuel Ortiz           12    2   14     Df Diego Ribeiro          11    2   13
Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13     Df Roman Piatek            9    2   11
Mf Claes Östberg          11    2   13     Mf Amdy Diedhiou          13    2   15
Mf Randall Navarrete      15    2   17     Mf Darrell Sinclair       11    2   13
Fw Cássio Lemos           15    2   17     Fw Raul Duarte            13    2   15
Fw Rónald Aguilera        12    2   14     Fw Mats Göthberg          12    2   14
Fw Kenzie McDonald        12    2   14     Fw Sebastiaan Jansen      12    2   14
Fw Roman Radomski         11    2   13     Fw Fabian Weber           14    2   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 43 30 58        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 54 28 59    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 18 43 30 67         T O T A L S       21  0 54 28 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 9.04 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.54 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.21 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Vincent Hamidou new match skill level =  7
      Vincent Hamidou new match total level =  9

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.47 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.22 (no red card)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.01 (no red card)

Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.2 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.2 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.41 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.14 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.08 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.7 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.05 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.54 (no red card)

Df Diego Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.57 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.13 (no red card)

Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.22 (no second yellow)

Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.17 (no red card)

Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.6 (no red card)

Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.98 (no red card)

Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.39 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.95 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 62.0 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.82 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.06 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.97 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.14 (no injury) 
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.92 (no injury) 
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.57 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.75 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.87 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.31 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.5 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Roman Radomski is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Roman Radomski new match skill level =  6
      Roman Radomski new match total level =  8

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 69.24 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.55 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Hakim Aguerd is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Diego Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.48 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.94 (no injury) 
Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.0 (no injury) 
Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.8 (no injury) 
Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.93 (no injury) 
Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.55 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.98 (no injury) 
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 16

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Weber SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          19  18  36  30  62
  Queens Park Rangers      21   0  54  28  59

Queens Park Rangers is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 4 (62 - 54) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 28) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Claes Östberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 80.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Randall Navarrete
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 69.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 21.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      21   0  54  28  59
  Southend United          19  18  36  30  62

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 23 (59 - 36); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 62) / 5;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 47.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 35.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 7.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 40.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 78.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 56.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 1  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
Match Notes
Got lucky there!
Colin (Southend United) 07/07 - 6:06 PM
 
 
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