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Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores         15    1   16     Gk Alexander Bach         15    2   17
Sw Reece Gregory          12    1   13     Df Radoslaw Kaminski      13    2   15
Df Eugene Goodwin         14    1   15     Df James Aminu             9    2   11
Df Cadwaladr Lewis        13    1   14     Df Goronwy Wright          9    2   11
Mf Efe Akpan              14    1   15     Df Léon Velardi            4    2    6
Mf Isaac Semenyo          13    1   14     Mf Denis Fellaini         14    1   15
Fw Ulf Helander           15    0   15     Mf Tomasz Lewandowski     13    1   14
Fw Gavin Wright           15    1   16     Mf Andrej Kovac            4    2    6
Fw Dafydd Chapman         13    1   14     Fw Mohammed Gyasi         16    2   18
Fw Armand Songo'o         14    2   16     Fw Krystian Zewlakow      12    2   14
Fw Julius Nwosu            8    2   10     Mf Nii Mingle             14    2   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 29 29 71        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 43 51 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 13 29 29 80         T O T A L S       20  0 50 51 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.54 (no red card)

Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.66 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.46 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.51 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.63 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.73 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.7 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.41 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.61 (no red card)

Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.53 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.36 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 5.02 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.46 (no red card)

Df James Aminu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.86 (no red card)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.7 (no red card)

Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.8 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.83 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.4 (no red card)

Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.74 (no red card)

Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.71 (no red card)

Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.5 (no red card)

Mf Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.15 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 88.59 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.09 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.37 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.28 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.63 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.24 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.13 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.68 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.6 (no injury) 
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.98 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.64 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 32.79 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.92 (no injury) 
Df James Aminu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.8 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.03 (no injury) 
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.86 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.94 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.64 (no injury) 
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.9 (no injury) 
Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.24 (no injury) 
Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.11 (no injury) 
Mf Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.96 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ulf Helander SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mohammed Gyasi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16  13  29  29  80
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    20   0  50  51  32

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 15 (80 - 50) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 51) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 68.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 68.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 56.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 91.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 99.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 45.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 79.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 93.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    20   0  50  51  32
  Bristol City FC          16  13  29  29  80

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 2 (32 - 29) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((51 - 29) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 80) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 3  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2
 
Match Notes
Can we slow down Weston's march to the title?
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/20 - 12:21 AM
It is ground to a halt already!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/22 - 10:56 AM
 
 
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