(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17 Gk Alexander Bach 16 2 18
Sw Saul Aquino 13 0 13 Sw Toni Meyer 13 2 15
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 16 1 17 Df Goronwy Wright 15 2 17
Df Keita Hattori 13 2 15 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 12 2 14
Df Shoichi Morita 8 2 10 Df Marek Murphy 8 2 10
Mf Tin Perisic 15 -1 14 Df Léon Velardi 8 1 9
Mf Seth Sibley 10 2 12 Mf Denis Fellaini 15 2 17
Fw Valerio Paredes 16 2 18 Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 11 1 12
Fw Takao Soma 16 2 18 Fw Sven Skog 14 2 16
Fw Claudio Prado 10 2 12 Fw John Clarke 12 2 14
Fw Djonno De boer 8 1 9 Fw Torben Thygesen 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 13 42 26 57 ROSTER TOTALS 18 15 50 29 42
0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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17 13 52 26 57 T O T A L S 20 15 50 29 42
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============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.05 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.45 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.36 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.47 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.48 (no red card)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.85 (no red card)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.08 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.97 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.56 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.11 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.64 (no red card)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.89 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.67 (no red card)
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.02 (no red card)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.04 (no red card)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.4 (no red card)
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.98 (no red card)
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.24 (no red card)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.03 (no red card)
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.2 (no red card)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.33 (no red card)
Fw John Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.41 (no red card)
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.48 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 51.0 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.1 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.52 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.31 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.44 (no injury)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.33 (no injury)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.74 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.71 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.95 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.19 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 55.99 (no injury)
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.02 (no injury)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.7 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Goronwy Wright is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Goronwy Wright new match skill level = 8
Goronwy Wright new match total level = 10
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.89 (no injury)
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.75 (no injury)
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.6 (no injury)
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.49 (no injury)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.88 (no injury)
Fw John Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.15 (no injury)
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.39 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 16
intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Denis Fellaini SL 15
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 13 52 26 57
Weston-super-Mare AFC 20 15 43 29 42
Watford Fw Attacks = 14 (57 - 43); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 4 ((52 - 42) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 83.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 94.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 35.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Weston-super-Mare AFC 20 15 43 29 42
Watford 17 13 52 26 57
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 52)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 57) / 3; rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 1 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1
Match Notes
This is a massively underrated match this session. Winner here could vault themselves out of the relegation zone!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/11 - 9:30 PM
we are looking forward to an easy life in the lower leagues especially if we can avoid Dohm on the way up
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/12 - 12:30 PM