MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, April 4th, 2025 - 02:16:12 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 49 // Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats TablesTeams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Vukovic            8    2   10     Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19
Sw Bryn Gough             15    1   16     Df Hayden Goodwin         16    2   18
Df Mohamadou Sy           14    2   16     Df Abdul Otu              13   -1   12
Df Robert Bak              8    2   10     Df Joel Calvo              9    2   11
Df Pius Issa               4    2    6     Mf Arthur Goodwin         12    2   14
Mf Faustino Verón          8    2   10     Mf Miguel López           12    1   13
Mf Luca da Silva           4    1    5     Mf Bahaeeddine Ait         9    2   11
Fw Evaristo Masis         14    2   16     Mf Issa Daouda             4    2    6
Fw Syam Arfaoui           16    0   16     Fw Eduardo Luna           15    2   17
Fw Nenad Kovtun           10    2   12     Fw Pol Ruiz                9    2   11
Fw Farzan Vestergaard      8    2   10     Fw Geovanny Arley          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 16 32 15 54        ROSTER TOTALS      19  0 41 44 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 16 32 20 58         T O T A L S       22  0 41 44 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.08 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.02 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.91 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.17 (no second yellow)

Df Pius Issa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.46 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Pius Issa new match skill level =  2
      Pius Issa new match total level =  4

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.48 (no red card)

Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.87 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.71 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.27 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.31 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.82 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.33 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.2 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.98 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.71 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.16 (no red card)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.85 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.48 (no red card)

Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.87 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.32 (no red card)

Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.76 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.67 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.04 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.82 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.09 (no injury) 
Df Pius Issa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.01 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.53 (no injury) 
Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.71 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.18 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.31 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.82 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.51 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.58 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.79 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.16 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.78 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.74 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.12 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.47 (no injury) 
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.63 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.12 (no injury) 
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.72 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Syam Arfaoui SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 8

     intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 29 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       13  16  30  20  58
  Preston North End FC     22   0  41  44  39

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 9 (58 - 41) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 66.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 57.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 3.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 88.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 32.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 37.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 67.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     22   0  41  44  39
  Plymouth Argyle FC       13  16  30  20  58

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 9 (39 - 30); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((44 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 58) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 52.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 21.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 2
 
Match Notes
Ian.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 02/18 - 5:01 AM
Match of the week.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/22 - 4:23 PM
We will continue our desperate push for as many points as we can.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/22 - 4:40 PM
You know the fix is in when you get both a straight red card AND give up a PK whilst playing 0 HRD.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/24 - 5:52 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions