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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18     Gk Marcos Cruz            16    2   18
Sw Bryn Gough             15    2   17     Df André Bukari           13    2   15
Df Alan Matuidi           11    2   13     Df Aaron MacKay           10    1   11
Df Leonardo Marino        10    2   12     Df Marco Sibaja            8    2   10
Df Mohamadou Sy            9    2   11     Df Cássio Alisson          4    2    6
Mf Khaled Balhadj         12    0   12     Mf Faber Ruiz             13    1   14
Mf Daniel Kelly           10    2   12     Mf Henrik Kristensen      10    2   12
Fw Si-Won Min-woo         15    2   17     Mf Luis Jarquin            8    2   10
Fw Syam Arfaoui           13    1   14     Fw Ichiro Sakai           13    1   14
Fw Charles Sweeney        16    1   17     Mf Taylor Stevenson       12    1   13
Fw Evaristo Masis          9    2   11     Fw Roberto Bonano          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 36 24 59        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 42 49 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 17 36 24 68         T O T A L S       20  0 49 49 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.78 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.2 (no red card)

Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.27 (no red card)

Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.38 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.25 (no red card)

Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.73 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.11 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.25 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.4 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.01 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.22 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 67.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 49.51 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.05 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 21.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.19 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.85 (no second yellow)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.86 (no red card)

Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.98 (no red card)

Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.23 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.64 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.72 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.37 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 94.75 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.27 (no injury) 
Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.32 (no injury) 
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.47 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.54 (no injury) 
Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.79 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.41 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.01 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.14 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.71 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.04 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 31.24 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.13 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.99 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.02 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.6 (no injury) 
Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.39 (no injury) 
Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.97 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Henrik Kristensen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.38 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.96 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.62 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.49 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Charles Sweeney SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: André Bukari SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  17  36  24  68
  Lewes FC                 20   0  49  49  20

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 10 (68 - 49) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 6 ((36 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Leonardo Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Alan Matuidi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Alan Matuidi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Alan Matuidi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 32.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Leonardo Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 1.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 11.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 42.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 86.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 20   0  49  49  20
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  17  36  24  68

Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 36)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((49 - 24) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 68) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
Plymouth is doing good these days. I think they will pull a win in this home game!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/03 - 3:17 PM
We need points to separate us from the relegation zone. Hoping we can get all 3 here.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/06 - 1:14 AM
LOTS of tactics on display from Dave and Lewes. Very close game!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/06 - 7:34 PM
 
 
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