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Wednesday, June 4th, 2025 - 01:31:47 PM (gmt)
 
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(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          15    1   16     Gk Kurt Östman            14    1   15
Sw Tjoris Dumfried        11    2   13     Sw Édouard Gning           8    0    8
Df Hayden Goodwin         17    1   18     Df Vagner Marcelo          9    1   10
Df Abdul Otu              11    0   11     Df Nicomedes Martino       6    2    8
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait        10    1   11     Df Jean Courtial           6    2    8
Mf Issa Daouda             6    2    8     Df Victor Rui              2    2    4
Fw Eduardo Luna           13    1   14     Mf Taha Tagnaouti          5    2    7
Fw Pol Ruiz               10    1   11     Mf Marwan Sforza           2    2    4
Fw Geovanny Arley         10    1   11     Mf Fernando Bentancur      2    2    4
Fw Victor Pino             6    2    8     Fw Ederson Fabinho         6    2    8
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul        2    2    4     Fw Rico Santambrogio       2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 29 19 48        ROSTER TOTALS      15  8 30 15 12    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  0  4  0    
=======================================================================
      16 13 29 19 57         T O T A L S       15 11 30 19 12    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.43 (no red card)

Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.98 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.89 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.25 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.7 (no red card)

Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.25 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.57 (no red card)

Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.91 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.65 (no red card)

Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.7 (no red card)

Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.48 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.6 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.4 (no red card)

Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.42 (no red card)

Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.02 (no red card)

Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.64 (no red card)

Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.0 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.08 (no red card)

Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.11 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.73 (no red card)

Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.38 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.69 (no second yellow)

Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.4 (no injury) 
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.83 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.03 (no injury) 
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.17 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.86 (no injury) 
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.52 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.19 (no injury) 
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.55 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.52 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.07 (no injury) 
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.82 (no injury) 
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.58 (no injury) 
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.56 (no injury) 
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.51 (no injury) 
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.29 (no injury) 
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.3 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.79 (no injury) 
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.24 (no injury) 
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 14

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vagner Marcelo SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 15

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     16  13  29  19  57
  Nottingham Forest        15  11  30  19  12

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 27 (57 - 30); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 6 ((29 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 15.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 36.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 33.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 97.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 95.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        15  11  30  19  12
  Preston North End FC     16  13  29  19  57

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 29)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 4  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
Sure seemed like Ian was trying to run up the score against Steve here...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/31 - 8:15 PM
Never had a chance - our Sw only stops 40% and they get 75% on target Olmec already hating on us
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/31 - 9:13 PM
 
 
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