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Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gianni Tabarez          8    2   10     Gk Choi Sung              11    1   12
Sw Robert Krzynówek        7    2    9     Df Edilberto Moreno       16    0   16
Df Servando Verón         15    1   16     Df Jeff Stewart           12   -1   11
Df Pedro Canobbio          8    1    9     Df Amalio Zanetti         11    0   11
Df Daniel Felipe Campbell  6    2    8     Mf Jonatan López          16    0   16
Mf Leif Abrahamsen        10    0   10     Mf Edwin O'Kelly          11   -1   10
Mf Hayden Redmayne         8    1    9     Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    15    0   15
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung       14    0   14     Fw Alfonso Mesén          14    0   14
Fw Kevin De Smet          13    1   14     Fw Alberto Mina           10    1   11
Fw Alonso Campbell        11    2   13     Fw Julio Morales           8    2   10
Fw Harouna Niang           8    2   10     Fw Gabriel Bacca          13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  9 33 19 51        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 38 26 64    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  9 33 20 60         T O T A L S       12  0 38 26 64    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.4 (no red card)

Sw Robert Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.94 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.39 (no red card)

Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.89 (no red card)

Df Daniel Felipe Campbell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.65 (no red card)

Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.29 (no red card)

Mf Hayden Redmayne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.5 (no red card)

Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.79 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Hwangbo Min-sung new match skill level =  7
      Hwangbo Min-sung new match total level =  7

Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.36 (no red card)

Fw Alonso Campbell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.83 (no red card)

Fw Harouna Niang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.42 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Choi Sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.17 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.34 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.21 (no red card)

Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.11 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.35 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.06 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.15 (no red card)

Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.72 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.45 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 1.46 (no injury) 
Sw Robert Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.01 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.32 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.03 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Felipe Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.62 (no injury) 
Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.74 (no injury) 
Mf Hayden Redmayne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.63 (no injury) 
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.68 (no injury) 
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.53 (no injury) 
Fw Alonso Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.16 (no injury) 
Fw Harouna Niang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.73 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Choi Sung: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 55.13 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.02 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.73 (no injury) 
Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.51 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.68 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.09 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.92 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.23 (no injury) 
Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.26 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.01 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.7 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Servando Verón SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Choi Sung SL 11

     intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edilberto Moreno SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gianni Tabarez SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             10   9  33  20  53
  Chesterfield FC          12   0  38  26  64

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Leeds United Fw Attacks = 8 (53 - 38) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Alonso Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 74.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 36.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alonso Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 81.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          12   0  38  26  64
  Leeds United             10   9  33  20  53

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 31 (64 - 33); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 53) / 5;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 85.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 95.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 52.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 76.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 69.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
32: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 53.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 3  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 5
 
Match Notes
I didn't expect this new strategy from Phil!! Very clever!! And well played. A well deserved win here!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/17 - 5:15 PM
 
 
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