(H)

Carlisle United
Dave Gittins

Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLISLE UNITED DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Gregory Reyna 15 2 17 Gk Fernando Pellistri 8 2 10 Sw Ramires Jesus 13 2 15 Mf Johnny Müller 9 2 11 Df Eirwyn Davey 14 2 16 Mf Rodrigo de Corona 9 0 9 Df Jacob Beynon 13 2 15 Df Alex Hassan 11 2 13 Df Lloyd Cole 11 1 12 Df Kwadwo Danlad 8 2 10 Mf Aliyu Edet 14 2 16 Mf Cédric Kenne 10 2 12 Mf Marcus Teulet 12 2 14 Mf Krystian Sobolewski 10 2 12 Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 14 1 15 Mf Erik Christiansen 11 0 11 Fw Javier Gimenez 14 2 16 Fw Yahia El mostafa 14 0 14 Fw Ki Seon-min 12 2 14 Mf Stefan Ake 6 2 8 Fw John Skoras 11 2 13 Fw Roque Ramos 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 15 43 30 58 ROSTER TOTALS 10 0 23 63 24 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 15 43 32 65 T O T A L S 10 0 23 63 24 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.15 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.48 (no red card) Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.13 (no red card) Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.15 (no red card) Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.78 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.78 (no second yellow) Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.05 (no red card) Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.53 (no red card) Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.26 (no red card) Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.64 (no red card) Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.6 (no red card) Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.29 (no red card) Fw John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.32 (no red card) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.01 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.32 (no red card) Mf Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.91 (no red card) Mf Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.63 (no red card) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.4 (no red card) Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.6 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.73 (no red card) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.31 (no red card) Mf Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.27 (no red card) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.74 (no red card) Mf Stefan Ake: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.01 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.31 (no second yellow) Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.36 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.71 (no injury) Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.07 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 3 Ramires Jesus is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Ramires Jesus new match skill level = 7 Ramires Jesus new match total level = 9 Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.99 (no injury) Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.37 (no injury) Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no injury) Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.61 (no injury) Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.93 (no injury) Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.85 (no injury) Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.1 (no injury) Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.73 (no injury) Fw John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.41 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.33 (no injury) Mf Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.48 (no injury) Mf Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.01 (no injury) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.1 (no injury) Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.75 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.07 (no injury) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.51 (no injury) Mf Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.5 (no injury) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.54 (no injury) Mf Stefan Ake: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.52 (no injury) Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.77 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 14 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 8 intRndPk = 76 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Yahia El mostafa SL 14 - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15 intRndPk = 97 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 17 9 43 32 65 Derby County 10 0 23 63 24 Derby County is using Offside Trap! Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 21 (65 - 23) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 63) / 2; rounded up) Carlisle United Df Attacks = 7 ((43 - 24) / 3); result rounded up Carlisle United Total Attacks = 28 1: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Lloyd Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Lloyd Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Df Lloyd Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Df Lloyd Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw John Skoras Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 58.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 41.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 99.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw John Skoras Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 58.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 38.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw John Skoras Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 50.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 44.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw John Skoras Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 24: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 48.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 11.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 10 0 23 63 24 Carlisle United 17 9 43 32 65 Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 43) Derby County Mf Attacks = 16 ((63 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 65) / 5; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 16 1: Attack for Mf Stefan Ake Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 25.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Rodrigo de Corona Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Stefan Ake Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Mf Johnny Müller Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Mf Rodrigo de Corona Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLISLE UNITED 4 - DERBY COUNTY 0