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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rene Layún              9    2   11     Gk Mauricio Higuain        8    2   10
Sw Esteban Martin         13    2   15     Df Alan Cole               8    2   10
Df Jonathan Acosta        13    2   15     Df Seny Sarr               4    2    6
Df Marko Mandžukic        12    2   14     Mf Nasiru Kabiru          12    0   12
Df Alex Graham            10    2   12     Mf Filip Kramaric          4    2    6
Df Grégory Lloris          7    2    9     Mf Blaise Akanji           4    2    6
Mf Bertus De leeuw        14    2   16     Fw Manuel Benaglio        12    1   13
Mf Ivan Vida              13    0   13     Fw Lukasz Dudka            8    2   10
Mf Michael Wass            6    1    7     Fw Kaj Jensen              8    2   10
Fw Boris Rudenko          13    2   15     Fw Bernd Casteels          8    2   10
Fw Angelo Bruno           10    2   12     Fw Exequiel Gutierrez      3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 15 50 36 27        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 16 24 48    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 15 50 38 34         T O T A L S       13  0 16 24 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Rene Layún: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 77.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 15.33 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.33 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.29 (no red card)

Df Marko Mandžukic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.2 (no red card)

Df Alex Graham: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.58 (no second yellow)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.13 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.04 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.26 (no red card)

Mf Michael Wass: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.67 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.34 (no red card)

Fw Angelo Bruno: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.15 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.11 (no red card)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.71 (no red card)

Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.99 (no red card)

Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.8 (no red card)

Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.81 (no red card)

Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.92 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.84 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.98 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.9 (no red card)

Fw Bernd Casteels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.46 (no red card)

Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.15 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Rene Layún: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 22.44 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.5 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.85 (no injury) 
Df Marko Mandžukic: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.19 (no injury) 
Df Alex Graham: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 67.61 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.71 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.62 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.93 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Wass: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.84 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.92 (no injury) 
Fw Angelo Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.24 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 50.19 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.29 (no injury) 
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.47 (no injury) 
Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.75 (no injury) 
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.29 (no injury) 
Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.75 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.24 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.64 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.45 (no injury) 
Fw Bernd Casteels: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.91 (no injury) 
Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bertus De leeuw SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 8

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nasiru Kabiru SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Rene Layún SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          13  15  50  38  34
  Hereford United FC       13   0  16  24  48

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 18 (34 - 16); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 7 ((38 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 1 ((50 - 48) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Df Grégory Lloris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 79.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 36.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 61 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       13   0  16  24  48
  Dorchester Town          13  15  50  38  34

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (48 - 50)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 34) / 5;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 7  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 0
 
Match Notes
Hereford are struggling and currently bottom, we should fancy our chances.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/26 - 7:58 PM
BIG win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/30 - 5:46 AM
That helps our goal difference, back to positive.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/02 - 9:36 PM
 
 
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