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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kris Vermant           13    1   14     Gk Carlos Ferreto          8    1    9
Df Pedro Romero           14    2   16     Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo  13    0   13
Df Sim Young-gwon         13    2   15     Df Kwadwo Danlad          14    1   15
Df Luca Simons            12    2   14     Df Johnny Müller          12    2   14
Df Josip Sommer           10    2   12     Df Gregory Reilly          8    2   10
Mf Peter Roldan           14    2   16     Df Andrew Vaughan          8    2   10
Mf Harold Thorne          13    2   15     Mf Enoch Gyan             13    0   13
Mf Dragan Shvets          13    1   14     Mf Martin Scholes          8    2   10
Mf Nazariy Gusak          14    2   16     Fw Donal O'Moore          13    0   13
Fw Teun Van der berg      10    2   12     Mf Roque Ramos            11    0   11
Fw Alexis Havet            8    2   10     Fw Meliton Molina          4    1    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 57 61 22        ROSTER TOTALS       9 13 49 34 18    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 57 61 31         T O T A L S        9 13 49 34 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 86.39 (no red card)

Df Pedro Romero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.94 (no red card)

Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.98 (no red card)

Df Luca Simons: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.54 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.59 (no red card)

Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.89 (no red card)

Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.06 (no red card)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.73 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.45 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.64 (no red card)

Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.75 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.45 (no red card)

Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.84 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.02 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.06 (no red card)

Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.08 (no red card)

Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.08 (no red card)

Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.57 (no red card)

Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.54 (no red card)

Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.85 (no red card)

Mf Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.36 (no red card)

Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 75.0 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Romero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.48 (no injury) 
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 16.34 (no injury) 
Df Luca Simons: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.49 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.36 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.91 (no injury) 
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 28.92 (no injury) 
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.11 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.67 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.26 (no injury) 
Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 89.84 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 38.18 (no injury) 
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.22 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.62 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.07 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.49 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.95 (no injury) 
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.51 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.07 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Martin Scholes is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.5 (no injury) 
Mf Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.02 (no injury) 
Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pedro Romero SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 8

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kwadwo Danlad SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 81 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          16   0  57  61  31
  Derby County             9  13  49  34  18

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 49)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 14 ((61 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 8 ((57 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Pedro Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Luca Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Luca Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 61.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Pedro Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Luca Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 68.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Luca Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Peter Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Peter Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Peter Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 64.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Peter Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Peter Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Harold Thorne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Peter Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             9  13  49  34  18
  Dorchester Town          16   0  57  61  31

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 57)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 61) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 6 ((49 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
Derby County Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Gregory Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Kwadwo Danlad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Johnny Müller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Kwadwo Danlad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 61.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Gregory Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 30.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Kwadwo Danlad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 3  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 

Match Notes

A big relegation battle. Both teams currently in the drop zone.
~ Andy ~ Jun 14 (Dorchester Town)  
Derby at Dorchester. Shaw'll set up like a brick wall and hope for the breaks. Derby need to be patient or they'll walk into exactly the trap he's laid.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 15 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Andy Shaw setting up to keep it tight against Derby — sensible enough, though one-nil plans tend to rely on the other side cooperating.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 17 (Coventry City)  
A big win for us putting us back in the promotion picture.
~ Andy ~ Jun 27 (Dorchester Town)  
 
 
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