(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S DERBY COUNTY CHESTERFIELD FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Fernando Pellistri 14 2 16 Gk Niklas Herrmann 15 2 17 Sw Artur Boniek 14 1 15 Sw Éder Astorga 6 2 8 Df Rodrigo de Corona 13 0 13 Df Robert Harrison 10 0 10 Df Mikkel Iversen 8 2 10 Df Amalio Zanetti 8 -1 7 Fw Ike Azeez 12 2 14 Df Sam Wood 7 2 9 Mf Peder Petersen 11 2 13 Mf Brecht De vos 9 0 9 Mf Henry Rowles 8 2 10 Mf Connor Patel 8 1 9 Fw Yahia El mostafa 12 -1 11 Mf Tjoris de Vrij 6 2 8 Fw Jay Mitchell 12 0 12 Fw Francisco Viana 8 1 9 Fw Saïd Aboukhlal 12 0 12 Fw Liam Cleverley 8 1 9 Fw Erik Christiansen 8 2 10 Fw Laise Campbell 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 15 23 23 59 ROSTER TOTALS 17 8 26 26 25 0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 15 23 23 69 T O T A L S 17 8 33 26 25 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.38 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.6 (no red card) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.98 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.74 (no second yellow) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.9 (no red card) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.12 (no red card) Fw Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.34 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.96 (no second yellow) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.96 (no red card) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.08 (no red card) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.11 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.43 (no second yellow) Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.09 (no red card) Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.83 (no red card) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.48 (no red card) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.87 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.38 (no red card) Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.89 (no red card) Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.05 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.27 (no second yellow) Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.68 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Amalio Zanetti new match skill level = 4 Amalio Zanetti new match total level = 3 Df Sam Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.39 (no red card) Mf Brecht De vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.79 (no red card) Mf Connor Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.61 (no red card) Mf Tjoris de Vrij: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.48 (no red card) Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.37 (no red card) Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.77 (no red card) Fw Laise Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.47 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 1 - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 78.32 (no injury) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.63 (no injury) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no injury) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.82 (no injury) Fw Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.07 (no injury) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.84 (no injury) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.24 (no injury) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.47 (no injury) Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.34 (no injury) Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.38 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Saïd Aboukhlal is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.98 (no injury) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 48.72 (no injury) Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.15 (no injury) Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.17 (no injury) Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.43 (no injury) Df Sam Wood: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.5 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Sam Wood is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Sam Wood new match skill level = 4 Sam Wood new match total level = 6 Mf Brecht De vos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.94 (no injury) Mf Connor Patel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) Mf Tjoris de Vrij: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.13 (no injury) Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.24 (no injury) Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.89 (no injury) Fw Laise Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.25 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 13 - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 15 intRndPk = 63 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Robert Harrison SL 10 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 16 15 23 23 69 Chesterfield FC 17 8 26 26 25 Derby County Fw Attacks = 43 (69 - 26); result rounded up Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 3; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 43 1: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 29: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 32: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 33: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 34: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 36: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 37: Attack for Fw Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 39: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 40: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 41: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 42: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 43: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chesterfield FC 17 8 26 26 25 Derby County 16 15 23 23 69 Chesterfield FC is Playing For A Draw! Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 1 (25 - 23) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 23) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 69) / 3; rounded up) Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 2 1: Attack for Mf Brecht De vos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E DERBY COUNTY 5 - CHESTERFIELD FC 0