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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl            8    2   10     Gk Pathé Ndong            13    2   15
Sw Tommy McGree           13    2   15     Df Miguel de la Cruz      13    2   15
Df Michaël Van der Heyden 15    2   17     Df Enrique Masis          13    2   15
Df Edwin O'Doherty         8    2   10     Df Gharib Alami           10    0   10
Df Festus Abubakar         4    2    6     Df Jordan Cummings         8    2   10
Mf Patrice Djemba         14    2   16     Mf Walid Sellimi          14    2   16
Mf Mario Pletikosa         8    2   10     Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       10    2   12
Mf Óscar Cota              4    2    6     Fw Renato Cabanas         14    2   16
Fw Slava Levchenko        14    2   16     Fw Gerry Maclaren         13    2   15
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          15    2   17     Fw Michaël Van der heijden16    2   18
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric       8    2   10     Fw Yeltsin Venegas         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 15 33 32 43        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 50 28 59    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 15 33 34 50         T O T A L S       15  0 50 28 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.22 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.57 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.24 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.32 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.67 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.6 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.22 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.65 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.37 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.63 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.06 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.29 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.14 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.59 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.53 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.73 (no red card)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.32 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.97 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.38 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.2 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.95 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.3 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.65 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.72 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.73 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.52 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.59 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.91 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.98 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.87 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.31 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.95 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.07 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.18 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.87 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.14 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.79 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.25 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.28 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.0 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.55 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.4 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.26 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der Heyden SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 8

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       10  15  33  34  50
  Swansea City AFC         15   0  50  28  59

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 50)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((34 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         15   0  50  28  59
  Crewe Alexandra FC       10  15  33  34  50

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 26 (59 - 33); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 50) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 98.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 75.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 3.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 47.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 51.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 77.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 29.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 68.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 4
 
Match Notes
This fixture isn't without a few draws down the seasons
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/09 - 1:22 PM
We may have been lucky to keep it to four
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/16 - 9:01 AM
 
 
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