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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18     Gk Maciej Piechniczek     15   -1   14
Sw Bryn Gough             15    2   17     Sw Santiago Ramos         15    2   17
Df Nestor Omlin           13    2   15     Df Júlio Casemiro         11    2   13
Df Bassirou Mbaye         13    2   15     Df Christian Kristensen    8    2   10
Df Alan Matuidi           11    2   13     Mf Søren Jacobsen         10    2   12
Mf Jorge Perez            13    2   15     Mf Cobi Keller             8    2   10
Mf Tatsuo Itakura         13    0   13     Fw Sebastian Zielinski    16    2   18
Mf Khaled Balhadj         12    0   12     Fw Granit Wicky           15    2   17
Mf Oscar Bremer            8    2   10     Fw Tim Scholz             16    2   18
Fw Si-Won Min-woo         14    2   16     Fw Robbie Murphy           8    2   10
Fw Nenad Kovtun           13    0   13     Fw Chibuikem Thomas        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 43 50 29        ROSTER TOTALS      14 17 23 22 69    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 17 43 59 29         T O T A L S       17 17 23 23 69    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.06 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.27 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.7 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.82 (no red card)

Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.71 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.88 (no second yellow)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.87 (no red card)

Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.13 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.45 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.7 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.32 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.75 (no second yellow)

Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.48 (no red card)

Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.22 (no red card)

Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.92 (no red card)

Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.08 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.06 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.21 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.67 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.07 (no red card)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.67 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 83.02 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.42 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.56 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.23 (no injury) 
Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.07 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.6 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.32 (no injury) 
Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.26 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.76 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.93 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.38 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 22.46 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.74 (no injury) 
Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.13 (no injury) 
Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.0 (no injury) 
Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.69 (no injury) 
Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.67 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.61 (no injury) 
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.46 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Tim Scholz is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Tim Scholz new match skill level =  8
      Tim Scholz new match total level =  10
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.27 (no injury) 
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.1 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Si-Won Min-woo SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 44 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastian Zielinski SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  17  43  59  29
  Tranmere Rovers          17  17  23  23  61

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 6 (29 - 23); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((59 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 97.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 78.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          17  17  23  23  61
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  17  43  59  29

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 18 (61 - 43); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 59) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 3  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 1
 
Match Notes
We've lost to Tranmere FORTY TWO TIMES!
Given that that's the answer to the ultimate question in the galaxy, perhaps that means that we won't lose another match?
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/29 - 2:16 AM
Nice prediction Rob 👍🏼

You win this week’s pan galactic gargle blaster 🍹
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/29 - 10:03 PM
I thank the dolphins!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/06 - 1:05 AM
 
 
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