(H)

Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes

Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARDIFF CITY FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos 8 2 10 Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Sw David Lemaigre 14 2 16 Sw Thiago Boniek 16 2 18 Df Gregory Robinson 13 2 15 Df Martin Persson 13 2 15 Df Eric Campbell 16 2 18 Df Mbaye Dieng 12 2 14 Mf Artur Zalewski 13 2 15 Df Nicomedes Martino 8 2 10 Mf Jeong Yong 12 2 14 Mf Abel Peeters 10 2 12 Fw Héctor Vasquez 13 2 15 Mf Bruno Freda 10 2 12 Fw Gaëtan Chair 13 2 15 Fw Atef Omar 14 1 15 Fw Jair Sanchez 11 2 13 Fw Keiron Chamberlain 13 2 15 Fw Fabrice Ndi 8 2 10 Fw Girnot Reus 12 0 12 Fw Leonardo Alonso 8 2 10 Fw Ederson Fabinho 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 16 33 29 63 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 39 24 52 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 13 16 33 29 72 T O T A L S 18 18 39 24 52 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.77 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.39 (no red card) Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.22 (no red card) Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.26 (no red card) Df Eric Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.84 (no red card) Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.95 (no red card) Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.17 (no red card) Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.99 (no red card) Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.43 (no red card) Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.03 (no red card) Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.22 (no red card) Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.29 (no red card) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.29 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.32 (no red card) Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.13 (no red card) Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.73 (no red card) Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.59 (no red card) Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.54 (no red card) Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.54 (no red card) Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.85 (no red card) Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.47 (no red card) Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.65 (no red card) Fw Girnot Reus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.16 (no red card) Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.85 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.24 (no injury) Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.87 (no injury) Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.9 (no injury) Df Eric Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.96 (no injury) Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.7 (no injury) Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.97 (no injury) Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.33 (no injury) Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.52 (no injury) Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.62 (no injury) Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.89 (no injury) Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.36 (no injury) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.11 (no injury) Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.78 (no injury) Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.34 (no injury) Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.47 (no injury) Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.76 (no injury) Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.45 (no injury) Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.78 (no injury) Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.24 (no injury) Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.51 (no injury) Fw Girnot Reus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.48 (no injury) Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.65 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Eric Campbell SL 16 - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16 intRndPk = 67 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Atef Omar SL 14 - Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 8 intRndPk = 99 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Cardiff City FC 13 16 33 29 72 Nottingham Forest 18 18 39 24 52 Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 33 (72 - 39); result rounded up Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((29 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 52) / 3; rounded up) Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 36 1: Attack for Mf Jeong Yong Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Jeong Yong Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 73.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 21.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 30: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 18 18 39 24 52 Cardiff City FC 13 16 33 29 72 Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 19 (52 - 33); result rounded up Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 29) / 2; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 72) / 3; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 19 1: Attack for Fw Girnot Reus Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Girnot Reus Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Girnot Reus Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 87.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Girnot Reus Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 59.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARDIFF CITY FC 0 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 3
Match Notes

Oh my, what a ridiculous result and we're only a point off the leaders.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/05 - 7:25 PM