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Monday, July 7th, 2025 - 02:11:03 AM (gmt)
 
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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bo Norlén              12    0   12     Gk Gregory Reyna          15    2   17
Df Secundino López        13    0   13     Sw Philippe Manago         8    2   10
Df Yahaya Etim            12    0   12     Df Lloyd Cole             11    1   12
Df Hajime Tanaka           8    2   10     Df Toshihiro Nakamura     10    1   11
Mf Fernando Militao       12    0   12     Df Marco Sa                8   -1    7
Mf Cameron Gates          12    0   12     Mf Marcus Teulet          12    2   14
Mf Gustavo Moreno          8    2   10     Df Jacek Frankowski        8    2   10
Mf Virgil Hoekstra         6    2    8     Mf Marco D'amato           8    2   10
Fw Valeriy Yastenko       13    0   13     Fw John Skoras            11    2   13
Fw Conway Roberts          8    2   10     Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      10    2   12
Fw Maxi Olivera            6    2    8     Fw Jordan Pérez            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 35 42 31        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 40 24 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 35 42 40         T O T A L S       17 12 47 24 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.27 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.67 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.61 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.54 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.68 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.54 (no red card)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.21 (no red card)

Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.61 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.55 (no red card)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.41 (no red card)

Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.82 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.73 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.19 (no red card)

Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.04 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.7 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.52 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.4 (no red card)

Df Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.48 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.37 (no red card)

Fw John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.07 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.49 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.39 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.03 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.04 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.08 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.27 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.01 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.08 (no injury) 
Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.49 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.1 (no injury) 
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.88 (no injury) 
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.63 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.74 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.0 (no injury) 
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.95 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.38 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.25 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.34 (no injury) 
Df Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.89 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.68 (no injury) 
Fw John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.35 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.89 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.29 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Secundino López SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcus Teulet SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 12

     intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  35  42  40
  Carlisle United          17  12  47  24  35

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 47)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((42 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Virgil Hoekstra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  12  47  24  35
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  35  42  40

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 35)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 2 ((47 - 40) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Lloyd Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
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